The Greville Memoirs, Part 3 (of 3), Volume 2 (of 2): A Journal of the Reign of Queen Victoria from 1852 to 1860Greville, Charles
History
The Greville Memoirs, Part 3 (of 3), Volume 2 (of 2): A Journal of the Reign of Queen Victoria from 1852 to 1860
Greville, Charles
Great Britain -- History -- Victoria, 1837-1901
_June 1st._--The state of affairs with America becomes more and more
alarming.[1] Grey told me the other night that he had had a long
conversation with Dallas, whose tone was anything but reassuring as
to the prospect of peace; and yesterday I met Thackeray, who is just
returned from the United States. He thinks there is every probability
of the quarrel leading to war, for there is a very hostile spirit,
constantly increasing, throughout the States, and an evident desire
to quarrel with us. He says he has never met with a single man who
is not persuaded that they are entirely in the right and we in the
wrong, and they are equally persuaded if war ensues that they will
give us a great thrashing; they don't care for the consequences, their
riches are immense, and 200,000 men would appear in arms at a moment's
notice. Here, however, though there is a great deal of anxiety, there
is still a very general belief that war cannot take place on grounds
so trifling between two countries which have so great and so equal
an interest in remaining at peace with each other. But in a country
where the statesmen, if there are any, have so little influence, and
where the national policy is subject to the passions and caprices of
an ignorant and unreasoning mob, there is no security that good sense
and moderation will prevail. Many imagine that matters will proceed to
the length of a diplomatic rupture, that Crampton will be sent away and
Dallas retire in consequence, and that then by degrees the present heat
will cool down, and matters be amicably arranged without a shot being
fired. I feel no such confidence, for if diplomatic intercourse ceases
numerous causes of complaint will arise, and as there will be no means
left for mutual and friendly explanation and adjustment, such causes
will be constantly exaggerated and inflamed into an irreconcileable
quarrel. Matters cannot long go on as they now are without the public
here becoming excited and angry, and the press on both sides insolent,
violent, and provoking, and at last, going on from one step to another,
we shall find ourselves drifted into this odious and on both parts
suicidal contest, for there is not a blow we can strike at America and
her interests that will not recoil on us and our own. It has often been
remarked that civil wars are of all wars the most furious, and a war
between America and England would have all the characteristics of a
civil and an international contest; nor, though I have no doubt that
America is in the wrong, can I persuade myself that we are entirely in
the right on either of the principal points in dispute. We have reason
to congratulate ourselves that the Russian war is over, for if it had
gone on and all our ships had been in the Baltic, and all our soldiers
in the Crimea, nothing would have prevented the Americans from seizing
the opportunity of our hands being full to bring their dispute with us
to a crisis.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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