Naturally. The bill was presented to the Reichstag in April, and the
"coalition of Balkan States," M. Hartwig's Balkan League, had already
completed its organization in February. Not only so, but the very first
step taken by this exemplary organization provided for a division of
spoils in the event of a successful war with Turkey; and six months
after the organization of the League was concluded, it served an
ultimatum upon Turkey over Albania, and in October went to war. The
German Government could quite plainly see the future about to be
inaugurated through this consolidation of Balkan policy into the hands
of the Russian Foreign Office--any one even an attentive reader of
newspapers, could see it--and it could see the vastly increased
responsibility of its Austrian ally, in case of a quarrel, should it
have to take on a coalition of the Balkan States instead of a single
one.
Count de Lalaing reported from London, 24 February, 1918, that the
British Foreign Office took the same sensible view of the German
military increases as, according to Baron Guillaume, was taken by M.
Jonnart. "The English press," he says, "is of course anxious to saddle
Germany with the responsibility for the fresh tension caused by her
schemes--a tension which may give Europe fresh reasons for uneasiness."
But, he goes on--
At the Foreign Office I found a more equitable and calmer estimate
of the situation. They see in the reinforcement of the German
armies not so much a provocation as an admission that circumstances
have weakened Germany's military position, and that it must be
strengthened. The Berlin Government is compelled to recognize that
it can no longer count upon being supported by the whole force of
its Austrian ally, now that a new Power, that of the Balkan
Federation, has made its appearance in South-eastern Europe, right
at the gates of the Dual Empire.... Under these circumstances, the
Foreign Office sees nothing astonishing in Germany's finding it
imperative to increase the number of her army corps. The Foreign
Office also states that the Berlin Government had told the Paris
Cabinet quite frankly that such were the motives for its action.
The same view was publicly expressed by Mr. Lloyd George himself as late
as 1 January, 1914, when he said:
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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