The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation — John Shaqi
The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
Money is as much a necessity as bread in the world. Indeed, it is of
more; for bread alone carries a man a very little way, according to
modern notions, whereas money is the lever that lifts every obstacle
from the path. It would seem quite reasonable, therefore, to infer that
when the same means have been established for making the surplus at one
monetary centre available to supply the deficiency at another, with the
rapidity which is proportioned to the more sudden pecuniary requirements
that are developed than is the case with corn, the very serious and
prolonged disturbances which have been experienced in the past from such
a cause would gradually be prevented in the future.
[Sidenote: THE GROWTH OF WEALTHY MONETARY CENTRES.]
Apart from the single question of rapid telegraphic communication, there
is another matter deserving of as much consideration, which is the
increase in the number of large monetary and commercial centres. Of late
years the growth of wealthy centres has been rapid, and the reservoirs
of unemployed money have thus been increased so that a deficiency at
one could be supplied from another at a price. Diseases of the body
break out here and there in the world at different periods, and other
centres of population get warning, and by quarantine and strict sanitary
measures, its spread, as in the case of cholera, is checked. Speculation
is a disease of the mind, and like diseases of the body which arise from
indulgence, carelessness, and neglect, it in the same way comes to a
crisis at places where greed of money, folly, and commercial debauchery
hurry people into extravagances and luxury that are sure to result in
a general eruption. The growing wealth of continental states is an
important feature in the altering character of Europe, from a financial
point of view, as we near the last quarter of the nineteenth century. As
monetary centres, both Berlin and Vienna have been taking a much more
prominent part since the Franco-German war than there was any prospect
of their doing before the transfer of so much wealth to Germany by the
war indemnity payments. At the same time, London has risen higher, and
to a level of still greater importance even than she had occupied before
as a trade centre. In proportion as other such centres are growing in
influence with their reserves of floating capital and credit is London
shored-up, so to speak, against the violence of a commercial crisis by
the growth of subsidiary monetary centres, which form the second line
of defence. Such a second line of defence against a sudden collapse of
credit, such as we have experienced several times during this century,
is of the utmost importance to a centre like London, where the existence
of an elaborate system of book-credits causes such an economy of the
currency.
[Sidenote: PRIVATE CIPHER TELEGRAMS AS EXTERIOR INFLUENCES UPON PRIORS.]
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