Vaccination a Delusion: Its Penal Enforcement a Crime: Proved by the Official Evidence in the Reports of the Royal CommissionWallace, Alfred Russel
Science
Vaccination a Delusion: Its Penal Enforcement a Crime: Proved by the Official Evidence in the Reports of the Royal Commission
Wallace, Alfred Russel
Vaccination
disease, and yet none of them, nor any of the Commissioners, thought that
any _evidence_, much less proof, of the fact itself was needed. They took
it for granted. “Everybody knows it.” “Very few people have small-pox
a second time.” No doubt. But very few people suffer from any special
accident twice—a shipwreck, or railway or coach accident, or a house on
fire; yet one of these accidents does not confer immunity against its
happening a second time. The taking it for granted that second attacks
of small-pox, or of any other zymotic disease, are of that degree of
rarity as to _prove_ some immunity or protection indicates the incapacity
of the medical mind for dealing with what is a purely statistical and
mathematical question.
Quite in accordance with this influence of small-pox in rendering the
patient somewhat more liable to catch the disease during any future
epidemic, is the body of evidence adduced by Professor Vogt, showing that
vaccination, especially when repeated once or several times, renders
the persons so vaccinated _more_ liable to take the disease, and thus
actually increases the virulence of epidemics. This has been suspected
by some anti-vaccinators; but it is, I believe, now for the first time
supported by a considerable body of statistics.
The other important feature in Professor Vogt’s memoir is the strong
support he gives to the view that small-pox mortality is really—other
things being approximately equal—a function of density of population. All
the evidence I have adduced goes to show this, especially the enormously
high small-pox death-rate in crowded cities in approximate proportion to
the amount of crowding. Professor Vogt adds some remarkable statistics
illustrating this point, especially a table in which the 627 registration
districts of England and Wales are grouped according to their density
of population, from one district having only sixty-four persons to a
square mile to six which have 20,698 per square mile, another column
showing in how many of the years during the period 1859-1882 there
were any small-pox deaths in the districts. The result shown is very
remarkable. In the most thinly populated district no small-pox death
occurred in _any one_ of the twenty-four years; in the most densely
peopled districts small-pox deaths occurred in _every one_ of the
twenty-four years. And the frequency of the occurrence of small-pox in
all the intervening groups of districts followed exactly the density of
the population. Taking two groups with nearly the same population, the
fourth group of 107 districts, with a total population of 1,840,581,
had small-pox deaths in only five or six out of the twenty-four years
in any of them; while the thirteenth group of thirteen districts, with
a population of 1,908,888, had small-pox deaths in twenty-three out of
the twenty-four years. But the first group had a density of 160 to the
square mile, and the last had 8,350 to the square mile. The Commissioners
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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