_The foregoing Conclusions not affected by the Imperfection of the
Data._—The general results at which we have arrived in reference to the
influence of ocean-currents on the climatic condition of the globe are
not affected by the imperfection of the data employed. It is perfectly
true that considerable uncertainty prevails regarding some of the data;
but, after making the fullest allowance for every possible error, the
influence of currents is so enormous that the general conclusion cannot
be materially affected. I can hardly imagine that any one familiar
with the physics of the subject will be likely to think that, owing to
possible errors in the data, the effects have probably been doubled.
Even admitting, however, that this were proved to be the case, still
that would not materially alter the general conclusion at which we
have arrived. The influence of ocean-currents in the distribution of
heat over the surface of the globe would still be admittedly enormous,
whether we concluded that owing to them the present temperature of the
equator is 55° or 27° colder than it would otherwise be, or the poles
83° or 41° hotter than they would be did no currents exist.
Nay, more, suppose we should again halve the result; even in that case
we should have to admit that, owing to ocean-currents, the equator
is about 14° colder and the poles about 21° hotter than they would
otherwise be; in other words, we should have to admit that, were it not
for ocean-currents, the mean temperature of the equator would be about
100° and the mean temperature of the poles about −21°.
If the influence of ocean-currents in reducing the difference between
the temperature of the equator and poles amounted to only a few
degrees, it would of course be needless to put much weight on any
results arrived at by the method of calculation which I have adopted;
but when it is a matter of two hundred degrees, it is not at all likely
that the general results will be very much affected by any errors which
may ever be found in the data.
Objections of a palæontological nature have frequently been urged
against the opinion that our island is much indebted for its mild
climate to the influence of the Gulf-stream; but, from what has already
been stated, it must be apparent that all objections of that nature
are of little avail. The palæontologist may detect, from the character
of the flora and fauna brought up from the sea-bottom by dredging and
other means, the presence of a warm or of a cold current; but this can
never enable him to prove that the temperate and polar regions are
not affected to an enormous extent by warm water conveyed from the
equatorial regions. For anything that palæontology can show to the
contrary, were ocean-currents to cease, the mean annual temperature
of our island might sink below the present midwinter temperature of
Siberia. What would be the thermal condition of our globe were there no
ocean-currents is a question for the physicist; not for the naturalist.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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