It ought to be quite clear, especially in the case of an island like
Great Britain, that it _loses_ what it sends out and _gains_ what
it brings in. Yet people get muddled about even this very simple
proposition, because the individual trader thinks of his transactions
as an individual sale. He does not consider the nature of trade as a
whole. The individual trader, for instance, who makes locomotives and
exports them, gets paid, let us say, £10,000 for each locomotive. In
point of fact this means that in the long run he or someone else in
England will exercise £10,000 worth of demand for foreign goods. But
the individual trader does not usually think of that; he thinks only of
his own transactions, and he would be very much surprised if he were
told that his sending the locomotive abroad was, _regarded in itself,
and apart from the import which it assumed_, a loss to the country of
£10,000 worth of wealth.
You often hear people in political arguments talking as though the
falling off of exports from a country were a bad thing and the increase
of imports also a bad thing. It cannot be so in the long run. The
excess of imports over exports is the national profit on the whole of
its foreign transactions, and any country which is exporting regularly
more than it imports is paying tribute to foreigners abroad, while
every country which regularly imports more than it exports is receiving
tribute.
Of course, if you consider only a short period of time, the falling off
of exports may be a bad sign; for it may mean that the corresponding
imports will not be gathered. If in this country we saw our exports
regularly falling year by year we should be right to take alarm, for
this would almost certainly mean that a corresponding falling off in
imports would sooner or later take place also, and that therefore our
total wealth would be diminished. But considered over a sufficient
space of time, it is obvious that the excess of imports over exports
is a gain and that the excess of exports over imports is a loss.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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