Studies repeatedly demonstrated that investors in pyramid
schemes realize their dubious nature and stand forewarned
by the collapse of other contemporaneous scams. But they
are swayed by recurrent promises that they could draw
their money at will ("liquidity") and, in the meantime,
receive alluring returns on it ("capital gains", "interest
payments", "profits").
People know that they are likelier to lose all or part of
their money as time passes. But they convince themselves
that they can outwit the organizers of the pyramid, that
their withdrawals of profits or interest payments prior to
the inevitable collapse will more than amply compensate
them for the loss of their money. Many believe that they
will succeed to accurately time the extraction of their
original investment based on - mostly useless and
superstitious - "warning signs".
While the speculative rash lasts, a host of pundits,
analysts, and scholars aim to justify it. The "new
economy" is exempt from "old rules and archaic modes of
thinking". Productivity has surged and established a
steeper, but sustainable, trend line. Information
technology is as revolutionary as electricity. No, more
than electricity. Stock valuations are reasonable. The Dow
is on its way to 33,000. People want to believe these
"objective, disinterested analyses" from "experts".
Investments by households are only one of the engines of
this first kind of asset bubbles. A lot of the money that
pours into pyramid schemes and stock exchange booms is
laundered, the fruits of illicit pursuits. The laundering of
tax-evaded money or the proceeds of criminal activities,
mainly drugs, is effected through regular banking
channels. The money changes ownership a few times to
obscure its trail and the identities of the true owners.
Many offshore banks manage shady investment ploys.
They maintain two sets of books. The "public" or
"cooked" set is made available to the authorities - the tax
administration, bank supervision, deposit insurance, law
enforcement agencies, and securities and exchange
commission. The true record is kept in the second,
inaccessible, set of files.
This second set of accounts reflects reality: who deposited
how much, when and subject to which conditions - and
who borrowed what, when and subject to what terms.
These arrangements are so stealthy and convoluted that
sometimes even the shareholders of the bank lose track of
its activities and misapprehend its real situation.
Unscrupulous management and staff sometimes take
advantage of the situation. Embezzlement, abuse of
authority, mysterious trades, misuse of funds are more
widespread than acknowledged.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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