Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and OpportunitiesTeller, Edward
Science
Our Nuclear Future: Facts, Dangers and Opportunities
Teller, Edward
Nuclear energy -- Popular works; Nuclear weapons; Radioactivity -- Physiological effect
Now suppose a little bomb whose cloud will remain in the troposphere has
been exploded at one of the United States test sites. The Nevada test
site is at a latitude of 37°N and the Pacific test site at 12°N. In
these middle latitudes, in the troposphere, the winds blow mainly from
west to east with an average speed of approximately 20 miles an hour.
There will be a slight southerly or northerly motion on top of this. But
by and large the radioactive cloud will stay in a pretty narrow band
around the latitude at which the explosion took place.
After the first few hours, when the close-in fallout has dwindled, the
radioactive particles remaining in the cloud are too light and too fine
to fall any more under the action of gravity. At this point the weather
becomes important. Rain, fog, or mist captures the radioactive
particles, and returns them to the ground in the rainfall. This results
in the so-called tropospheric fallout.[12] The average time for this
fallout to occur is approximately two weeks to a month. During this
time, while staying more or less in the latitude of the explosion, the
radioactive particles may actually have encircled the earth.
The clouds of the big bombs rise high into the stratosphere. The winds
in the stratosphere do not blow so predominantly in a latitudinal
direction. What is more important, they stay in the stratosphere for
years, in which time the radioactivity is distributed to all areas of
the globe. The fallout from the big bombs is thus really world-wide.
The tropospheric fallout takes about a month. The stratospheric fallout
takes 5 to 10 years. The reason for this difference is the weather, or
rather the lack of it. In the stratosphere there is no rain or fog to
catch the radioactive particles and hence no effective mechanism for
producing the fallout. In fact, since the radioactive particles are too
fine to fall by gravity, they must simply wait until some turbulent
motions impel them downward back into the troposphere. This process
requires a long time.
That rainfall is the most important mechanism for producing the
world-wide fallout has been shown by examining the fallout in certain
dry regions of southern California and South America. In every case the
fallout was found to be considerably sub-normal. In one place in Chile,
where there is never any rain, the fallout was found to be only one per
cent of what might be expected on the basis of the average fallout at
the same latitude.
In regions having at least a few inches of rain per year, the fallout
tends to be proportional to the rainfall on the average. However, the
proportionality to rainfall depends on the nature of the weather so
that, say, twenty inches of rain in one part of the world may not give
as much fallout as the same amount of rain in other weather zones. We
are rapidly learning about this.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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