World War, 1914-1918; World War, 1914-1918 -- Influence; World War, 1914-1918 -- Peace
And yet beneath this superficial appearance of renewed prosperity and
industrial power there was, as I could see, something rotten. Misery
was not to be seen in the open, as in London, but it was there, in
middle-class homes and mean streets. The whole of this new industrial
adventure in Germany was based upon underpaid and under-nourished
labour, upon cut-throat prices, and upon the temporary advantage of a
falling exchange.
The German Government was tinkering with its money, speeding up the
printing presses, issuing notes beyond the backing of real securities.
The illusion of a Germany capturing the world’s markets had no great
basis of truth. The world markets had lost their purchasing power,
however cheap were German goods. Russia was not buying much from
Germany, nor Austria, nor Poland, nor Hungary, nor Turkey. Looking
into the figures given me by experts—English as well as German—it
seemed certain that there was an adverse trade balance against Germany
when her national expenditure was reckoned with her revenue. The
reparations she was beginning to pay, the deliveries in kind she
was making to France, Belgium, and Italy, the costs of the Armies
of Occupation on the Rhine, were eating into her capital wealth and
swallowing up her last gold reserves. She had to pay her indemnities by
buying foreign money—dollars, sterling, francs—and after each payment
her own money depreciated by irresistible economic laws.
THE ADVENTURE OF INFLATION
The financial advisers of the German Government used the method of
inflation to keep the German people working on cheap money to avoid a
revolution which they feared would happen if unemployment prevailed,
to wipe out their internal debt, and to dupe the world. At first, no
doubt, they believed that they could control this system of postponing
the evil day of reckoning, but, once having started the ball rolling,
it increased with frightful velocity down hill. Every time the mark
fell in value more marks had to be printed. When its purchasing power
fell so far below the real value of wages that the workers clamoured
for increased pay, the printing presses had to be turned again to
provide the additional money which again fell in the foreign exchange
while more slowly prices rose in Germany. The German financiers never
checked this wheel in its mad revolutions. They protested that they
were unable to check it. To some extent it was a gamble with loaded
dice. They were bound to win—up to a point. As long as foreign money
was paid for worthless paper—whatever the figure of exchange—they
would be taking good money for bad, which is excellent business. As
long as by increasing the quantities of paper they could enable their
industrialists to employ cheap labour, it was good business. As long
as the paper itself and the labour of printing were not more costly
than the purchase value represented by fantastic numbers on the note,
they could carry on the economic life of the country and at the
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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