World War, 1914-1918; World War, 1914-1918 -- Influence; World War, 1914-1918 -- Peace
Looking back on that amazing adventure of inflation, one must ask
oneself the question what would have happened in Germany if its
Government had endeavoured to stabilise its finances by not issuing
money beyond its real backing, and trying to balance its Budget
according to sound methods. It is my opinion that the illusion of
German prosperity would have been more rapidly dispelled and that their
default in the payment of reparations would have happened earlier.
Foreign speculators would not have been “bitten in the ear,” German
speculators would not have made profits over exchange gambles; but the
Allies would not have received more payments, and there would have been
widespread unemployment and revolt among the German people. They were
between the devil and the deep sea, and though they chose the devil of
inflation, it postponed the plunge into the deep sea for a year or two
more.
In fairness to Germany, it must be remembered that she did make very
heavy payments in money and kind, amounting all told to more than
£400,000,000 sterling—that is to say, nearly half the amount of the
British debt to the United States of America, which the British people,
richer than Germany at the present time, find an almost intolerable
burden, although they are paying only £30,000,000 a year to reduce
it. In Germany’s post-War state it was a drain upon her dwindling
capital which she could not sustain at anything like that rate, and
with or without inflation it crippled her. The Dawes Report was an
acknowledgment of that fact, although it took into account the immense
sums of money secreted abroad. Previous default had caused the French
occupation of Düsseldorf, Duisburg, and Frankfurt, arousing a flame
of hostility in German minds. But when France marched into the Ruhr
against the will of the British, and without their co-operation, the
whole of the German people, without difference of class or political
opinion, denounced it as a violation of the Peace Treaty, and as a
sentence of ruin, not only to Germany herself, but to the whole of
Europe.
THE OCCUPATION OF THE RUHR
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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