As to the crops, we find many over-optimistic people trying to belittle
positive crop damage. It cannot be belittled. It is dangerous and
foolish to evade an issue instead of facing it. The argument that our
surplus from last year will carry us through a shortage is puerile.
That surplus has already been considered. Wheat in the bin is money;
some of that money has already been spent and all of it has been given
due consideration in the basing of our wealth. A number of writers
attempt to make a probable crop of 2,500,000,000 bushels of corn a
“bumper crop.” Their methods of arriving at this conclusion are not
sound. It is certain that we should, in the natural course of events,
raise more and more wheat and corn each year as the population of the
world, and the uses of the cereals increase. To compare one year with
another will not do. Particularly in Corn and Cotton must we steadily
increase in acreage and production, for we supply the world with those
commodities. To illustrate this point, let us go back a few years and
see what has occurred.
COTTON AND CORN PRODUCTION OF THE UNITED STATES FOR TWENTY-FIVE YEARS.
Bushels Bales
Year Corn Cotton
1880 1,717,434,543 5,789,329
1885 1,936,176,000 6,550,215
1890 1,568,874,000 8,655,000
1895 2,151,139,000 7,157,340
1900 2,105,102,516 10,383,422
1905 2,707,993,542 11,345,988
1906 2,927,416,091 13,000,000
The time is very near at hand, when anything less than 3,000,000,000
bushels of corn will be a crop failure; and high prices cannot be
considered a great compensation in lean years. Short crops mean
decreased demand for labor and loss of purchasing power by the common
people, who are after all the best spenders.--From Thomas Gibson’s
Market Letter, July 13th, 1907.
_The Selection of Securities._
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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