In selecting the twenty stocks to be used in forming a composite
security, care was taken to eliminate the shares of such corporations
as have undergone radical changes during the period considered, 1896
to 1905, inclusive. The Rock Island Company, for example, is in itself
an important system, but owing to the conversion of $75,000,000 Common
stock into $200,000,000 of mixed securities in 1902, the tracing
of its subsequent movements would involve unnecessary computations
and explanations. It may be added that experimental tests show that
the hypothetical stock, call it “Composite Common” for the sake of
convenient reference, was faithfully representative of almost all
movements from 1896 to 1906, and that the selection of other stocks
would have made only insignificant variations in the general result.
The original intention was to extend the investigation for a longer
period than ten years, but so many readjustments, assessments, and
other changes occurred in listed securities prior to 1896 as to make a
clear showing difficult.
Common stocks of railroads only were considered. Few Industrials have
reached their tenth birthday, and aside from this, their introduction
would make a false showing by increasing the dividend rate with no
corresponding increase in the selling price of the stock.
The twenty stocks chosen for amalgamation were as follows:
Atchison, Topeka & Santa Fe, Baltimore and Ohio, Canadian Pacific,
Canada Southern, Chesapeake & Ohio, Chicago & Great Western, Chicago,
Milwaukee & St. Paul, Chicago & Northwestern, Chicago, St. Paul,
Minneapolis & Omaha, Erie, Illinois Central, Louisville & Nashville,
Missouri Pacific, New York Central & Hudson River RR., Pennsylvania,
Reading, Southern Pacific, Southern Railway, Union Pacific, and Wabash
RR.
PRICES OF COMPOSITE BY YEARS FROM 1896 TO 1906, INCLUSIVE.
Year High Average Low Fluctuation
1896 44 37½ 31 13
1897 53¼ 43⅞ 34½ 18¾
1898 62½ 53¼ 44 18½
1899 72½ 64¼ 56 16½
1900 80½ 70½ 60⅜ 20⅛
1901 106½ 89⅞ 73¼ 33¼
1902 119¼ 105½ 91⅝ 27⅝
1903 106½ 89⅞ 73¼ 33¼
1904 105½ 91 76½ 29
1905 122¾ 109⅝ 96½ 26¼
1906 125¾ 111⅞ 98⅛ 27⅝
Fractions were necessarily omitted from the totals employed in charting
the movements. They are, however, unimportant. Dividends on Composite
Common were as follows:
1896 1⅖ %
1897 1½ %
1898 1⅝ %
1899 1⁹/₁₀ %
1900 2½ %
1901 3 %
1902 3½ %
1903 3⅜ %
1904 3⁷/₁₀ %
1905 3⅞ %
1906 4¾ %
[Illustration: FLUCTUATIONS OF STOCKS FOR TEN YEARS.
(The rims of the circles touch the average high and low points of 20
railroad stocks, each year for 10 years.)
Reproduced, by permission, from MOODY’S MAGAZINE of August, 1906.]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account