The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
110. Mill[20] makes a statement of a case, as within the bounds of
conceivability, where there might be an advantage for a young country
to protect an infant industry. He is often quoted without regard to
the limitation of his statement, as if he had affirmed the general
expediency of protection in new countries and for infant industries.
It amounts to a misquotation to quote him without regard to the
limitations which he specified. The statement which he did make is
mathematically demonstrable.[21] The doctrine so developed is very
familiar in private enterprise. A business enterprise may be started
which for some years will return no profits or will occasion losses,
but which is expected later to recoup all these. _What are the limits
within which such an enterprise can succeed?_ It must either call for
sinking capital only for a short period (like building a railroad or
planting an orange grove), or it must promise enormous gains after it
is started (like a patented novelty). The higher the rate of interest,
as in any new country, the more stringent and narrow these conditions
are. Mill said that it was conceivable that a case of an industry might
occur in which this same calculation might be applied to a protective
tax. If, then, anybody says that he can offer an industry which meets
the conditions, let it be examined to see if it does so. If protection
is never applied until such a case is offered, it will never be applied
at all. A thing which is mathematically conceivable is one which is
not absurd; but a thing which is practically possible is quite another
thing. For myself, I strenuously dissent from Mill’s doctrine even as
he limits it. In the first place the state cannot by taxes work out
an industrial enterprise of a character such that it, as any one can
see, _demands the most intense and careful oversight by persons whose
capital is at stake in it_, and, in the second place, the state would
bear the loss, while it lasted, but private interests would take the
gain after it began.
(_B_) THAT PROTECTIVE TAXES DO NOT RAISE PRICES BUT LOWER PRICES.
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