Banks and banking -- Great Britain; Finance -- Great Britain
Thus there is a wide fluctuation in the interest that may be earned
on a foreign bill. When the French exchange is low, and the rate of
interest ruling in London is above that ruling in Paris, there is
consequently an incentive for a French banker to invest in English
bills; for not only is the rate of interest greater than would be
obtained in Paris, but the chances are in favour of a rise taking place
in the rate of exchange, which will, of course, be to his advantage.
From this it follows that when our _interest_ is _above_ that ruling at
foreign centres, and the exchanges on us are _low_, a heavy investment
demand from continental bankers sets in, in order to take advantage,
not only of the higher interest obtainable in London, but also of the
possible profit on the exchange. This demand will not only have the
effect of stopping a further fall in exchange rates, but will often
send them in the opposite direction. If, from some cause or other, the
rate remains low, the continental holders of our bills will keep them
until they become due and so earn the higher interest. If the rate
rises to any extent, certain holders will at once begin to sell, as
they will have earned their interest for the time they have held the
bills, and seeing their way to secure a certain profit on the exchange,
they think it well to take this, and employ their money in some other
centre which promises more profit.
We can now appreciate the value and importance of this investment
business. When our interest is high and exchanges low, it indicates
that we are having more or less of a money squeeze at home, and the low
exchanges threaten an export of gold, which would make matters worse.
The continental banker then steps in for his own profit, and benefits
us at the same time, as, by his action, he tends to support or raise
the exchange, and thus to stop the outflow of gold. He also places some
of his capital at our disposal, as continental bankers, when investing
in foreign paper, usually only buy first-class bills. There is only
a limited amount of these bills for sale on the Continent, and so
the continental bankers adopt the course of instructing their London
representatives to buy what they require, and remit funds to cover the
purchase.
When exchange rates rise and point to a possible inflow of gold to
London, continental bankers cease their investments and realise their
holdings, thus stopping the rise of rates and, for the time at any
rate, the possible inflow of gold.
Thus the investment business in foreign bills acts really as a pendulum
to the exchanges, steadying the fluctuations and having a most
important influence on the export and import of gold.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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