Worlds in the making: The evolution of the universeArrhenius, Svante
Science
Worlds in the making: The evolution of the universe
Arrhenius, Svante
Cosmogony
We must look for another explanation. It occurred to Helmholtz, one of
the most eminent investigators in the domain of the mechanical theory
of heat, that, instead of the meteorites, parts of the sun itself
might fall towards its centre, or, in other words, that the sun was
shrinking. Owing to the high gravitation of the sun (27.4 times greater
than on the surface of the earth), the shrinkage would liberate a great
amount of heat. Helmholtz calculated that, in order to cover the heat
expenditure of the sun, a shrinkage of its diameter by 60 m. annually
would be required. If the sun’s diameter should only be diminished by
one-hundredth of one per cent.—a change which we should not be able
to establish—the heat loss would be covered for more than 2000 years.
That seems at first satisfactory. But if we proceed with our estimate,
we find that if the sun went on losing as much heat as at present for
seventeen million years it would have to contract within this period to
a quarter of its present volume, and would therefore acquire a density
like that of the earth. Long before that, however, the radiation from
the sun would have been decreased so powerfully that the temperature
on the earth’s surface would no longer rise above freezing-point.
Helmholtz, on this argument, limited the further existence of the
earth to about six million years. That is less satisfactory. But we
know nothing of the future and must be content with possibilities. Not
so, however, if we calculate back with the aid of Helmholtz’s theory.
According to this theory, and according to Helmholtz’s own data, a
state like the present cannot have existed for more than ten million
years. Since, now, geologists have come to the conclusion that the
petrefactions which we find in the fossil-bearing strata of the earth
have needed at least a hundred million years for their formation, and
more probably a thousand million years, and since, moreover, the still
more ancient formations—the so-called precambrian strata—have been
deposited in equally long or still longer periods, we see that the
theory of Helmholtz is unsatisfactory.
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