A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United StatesJuglar, Clément
History
A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United States
Juglar, Clément
Depressions
THE CONDITION OF BUSINESS IN 1888-92.--[Footnote: The facts I state in
this _resume_ are based upon statistics printed in the _Commercial
and Financial Chronicle_.--DEC. W. THOM.]--The year 1888 was fairly
prosperous despite a Presidential election, but securities were heavy,
depression was general, and some few stocks shrank amazingly. Excessive
issue of new railroad securities and disastrous competition between
certain of the Southwestern roads were without prudence. Money was easy,
bank-note circulation continued to decrease till it was only $151,000,000,
and legal tenders to $81,000,000, but specie reserve rose to $181,000,000,
the banking capital to $592,000,000 plus, the exports to $1,350,000,000,
and discounts and loans rose to $1,684,000,000.
The sharp speculations in wheat and the formation of the French copper
corner caused a certain fluctuation in general business. Large crops,
excepting wheat; a flourishing cotton manufacture, a decline in
production of petroleum by agreement, a 6 per cent. decline in pig-iron
production, a very heavy one in Bessemer iron, and a very small export
trade as compared with imports occurred. But in the year 1889, the
export movement, consisting largely of cotton, was very great, being the
greatest since 1880, and near the maximum, and compared favorably with
the immense imports induced by the new tariff of 1890. In fact, the year
1889 surpassed all its predecessors in the volume of trade movements;
the bank clearings showing an increase of 13 per cent. over 1888. The
cotton, corn, and oats crops were the largest ever raised, and the wheat
crop was almost the largest. But cotton brought fair prices, and cotton
manufactures and production of iron were also considerably ahead of any
previous year, while petroleum played an important part at good prices.
Railroad earnings showed a wonderful recovery from 1888, and many
reports gave the largest figures ever recorded.
During this year many consolidations and a number of foreclosures
occurred. Railroad building fell to 5,000 miles compared to 7,000 in
1888. In general business, manufacturing and trade were extremely
active, yielding plenty of work, good wages, and fair profits.
But the wool crop and its manufacture, a decline in the anthracite coal
production, farm-mortgage pressure in the middle West, and low rates for
corn and oats were untoward circumstances. Speculation on the general
exchange was small, indicating a growing congestion, as was proved by
the low bank reserves, especially in the last quarter of the year; but
there was a heavy absorption of investment securities.
Gold, to the amount of $37,000,000, was exported in the first six
months. A small amount of it returned before 1890. Failures exceeded
those of 1888 by 203 in number and about 20 per cent. in money. The
woollen trade contributed much of this showing.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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