A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United StatesJuglar, Clément
History
A Brief History of Panics and Their Periodical Occurrence in the United States
Juglar, Clément
Depressions
Business began to revive. The issue of $50,000,000 Government bonds for
gold to replenish the Treasury stock was a very stimulating influence.
The improvement dated virtually from the agreement in February between
the Government and the Morgan-Belmont Syndicate to prevent the export of
gold. In June, 1895, the Government gold was thus brought up to a round
$100,000,000 for the first time since December, 1894. But
notwithstanding the fact that the business outlook was decidedly better,
the inevitable disturbances to business following a general change in
the tariff, unsettled political conditions in Europe and the selling of
American securities owned abroad, the shortage of the American cotton
crop, President Cleveland's Venezuela message, which many persons
thought might bring on war with England, and another decline in the
Treasury free gold, again shook business confidence.
Improvement, however, was stimulated by a remarkable increase in the
supply of money in our balance of trade and by the virtual settlement of
the Venezuelan question. The business situation was steadily clearing.
The ills from the panic of 1893-4 were well behind us. The
Spanish-American war proved to be harmless to us financially, while it
tended to show that National neighborliness could be exercised in a
splendidly unselfish way. By our treaty of peace with Spain on December
10, 1898, an additional emphasis was given to the revival of trade.
During 1899 a great rush to speculate brought the pinches in money
inevitable in those pre-Reserve Bank days, but could not stop the
general broadening of business interests although the industrial
situation was unsatisfactory in spots. Indeed, the succeeding year was
to witness severe industrial trouble destined to cause a general
set-back in business. The situation cleared considerably when the
November elections of 1900 showed the country to be safe from the Bryan
silver policy.
Big business interests took hold of market conditions. Huge combinations
of trade interests became the order of the day. The United States Steel
trust was the vastest and was the transcendent achievement of J.
Pierpont Morgan. The Stock Exchange was wild with speculation. The
collapse came there in the famous decline of the 9th of May, 1901,
precipitated by the Northern Pacific corner. In a month the market was
tranquil again. The shooting of President McKinley produced great
financial nervousness. The over-trading abroad, especially in Germany,
was influencing us and all the rest of the world, which had not yet
recovered from the vast financial cost of the English Boer War.
The ever increasing closeness of business relations the world
over--their virtual solidarity, in fact--was being illustrated again
with us. A chief example was trouble in the copper groups following a
slackened world demand for their products.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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