So obvious are the advantages of insurance that every one accepts it as
a benefit. We have now to see how the same service which is performed
for the producer by the insurance company is performed for the merchant
by the speculator. Among the greatest risks in commerce is that of
price changes due to great events (wet seasons or dry seasons, war or
peace, etc.) which the merchant can neither control nor foresee. A
grain merchant, for instance, who has bought some excellent wheat in
Dakota, has made advantageous arrangements for its transportation, and
is confident of finding a ready sale to an English miller, may find the
whole transaction results not in profit but in loss, if the level of
wheat prices falls before his sale is accomplished, by reason, perhaps,
of the unexpected yield of wheat in a distant country, or by the
conclusion of a great war. Why does he not sell the wheat in advance to
the miller, and so protect himself from this danger? He would simply be
shifting the burden to shoulders still less able to bear it. The miller
is a manufacturer, who needs to give all his thought to the technical
details of his business, and who can ill afford to buy wheat when it
is high, only to find when he comes to market the flour that it has
dropped in price, in sympathy with a decline in wheat.
=394. Services of the speculator to commerce.=—The class of speculators
has grown up in the course of the century, to assume such risks. It
can do great harm to business by creating risks where none naturally
existed, producing artificial scarcity by “corners,” etc.; this danger
should not blind us to the benefits it confers when it confines itself
to its legitimate business. Let us see how, in practice, this business
of speculation serves commerce.
A merchant who has bought wheat or cotton in America, for sale in the
Liverpool market, sells immediately an equal quantity for _future
delivery_, at a time when he expects to have his ware ready for sale
in England. It makes no difference to him then whether the general
price of his ware goes up or down. If prices go up he will have to pay
more to “cover” his sale of futures, but he will also get more for
his real ware. If prices go down he may not be able to get as much
for his real wheat or cotton as he expected, possibly not as much as
he paid for it; but he will make up just the difference, by the low
price at which he can cover. He renounces all chance at great gains,
but also secures himself against great loss, and is glad to pay the
speculator’s commission to attain this result. He makes his profit
by the differences in the price of wheat or cotton not at different
times, but in different places; reference to the section above, in
which the description of the modern merchant was quoted, will suggest
how he earns his living. In a manner similar to this many manufacturers
(millers or cotton manufacturers) protect themselves against variations
in the price of their raw material.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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