A History of Science — Volume 5Williams, Henry Smith
History
A History of Science — Volume 5
Williams, Henry Smith
Science -- History
If the computations in question have failed of their direct purpose,
however, they have been by no means lacking in important collateral
results. To mention but one of these, Lord Kelvin was led by this
controversy over the earth's age to make his famous computation in which
he proved that the telluric structure, as a whole, must have at least
the rigidity of steel in order to resist the moon's tidal pull as it
does. Hopkins had, indeed, made a somewhat similar estimate as early as
1839, proving that the earth's crust must be at least eight hundred or
a thousand miles in thickness; but geologists had utterly ignored
this computation, and the idea of a thin crust on a fluid interior had
continued to be the orthodox geological doctrine. Since Lord Kelvin's
estimate was made, his claim that the final crust of the earth could
not have formed until the mass was solid throughout, or at least until
a honeycomb of solid matter had been bridged up from centre to
circumference, has gained pretty general acceptance. It still remains
an open question, however, as to what proportion the lacunas of molten
matter bear at the present day to the solidified portions, and therefore
to what extent the earth will be subject to further shrinkage and
attendant surface contortions. That some such lacunae do exist is
demonstrated daily by the phenomena of volcanoes. So, after all, the
crust theory has been supplanted by a compromise theory rather than
completely overthrown, and our knowledge of the condition of the
telluric depths is still far from definite. If so much uncertainty
attends these fundamental questions as to the earth's past and present,
it is not strange that open problems as to her future are still
more numerous. We have seen how, according to Professor Darwin's
computations, the moon threatens to come back to earth with destructive
force some day. Yet Professor Darwin himself urges that there are
elements of fallibility in the data involved that rob the computation of
all certainty. Much the same thing is true of perhaps all the estimates
that have been made as to the earth's ultimate fate. Thus it has been
suggested that, even should the sun's heat not forsake us, our day will
become month-long, and then year-long; that all the water of the globe
must ultimately filter into its depths, and all the air fly off into
space, leaving our earth as dry and as devoid of atmosphere as the moon;
and, finally, that ether-friction, if it exist, or, in default of that,
meteoric friction, must ultimately bring the earth back to the sun. But
in all these prognostications there are possible compensating factors
that vitiate the estimates and leave the exact results in doubt. The
last word of the cosmic science of our generation is a prophecy of
evil--if annihilation be an evil. But it is left for the science of
another generation to point out more clearly the exact terms in which
the prophecy is most likely to be fulfilled.
PHYSICAL PROBLEMS
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