It is customary to associate with our countryman Francis Bacon
(1561-1627) the reform in methods of scientific discovery which
took place during the seventeenth century, and to which much of the
rapid progress in the natural sciences made since that time must be
attributed. The value of Bacon’s theory of scientific discovery is
very differently estimated by different critics, but there can be no
question of the singular ill-success which attended his attempts to
apply it in particular cases, and it may fairly be questioned whether
the scientific methods constantly referred to incidentally by Galilei,
and brilliantly exemplified by his practice, do not really contain a
large part of what is valuable in the Baconian philosophy of science,
while at the same time avoiding some of its errors. Reference has
already been made on several occasions to Galilei’s protests against
the current method of dealing with scientific questions by the
interpretation of passages in Aristotle, Ptolemy, or other writers;
and to his constant insistence on the necessity of appealing directly
to actual observation of facts. But while thus agreeing with Bacon in
these essential points, he differed from him in the recognition of
the importance, both of deducing new results from established ones by
mathematical or other processes of exact reasoning, and of using such
deductions, when compared with fresh experimental results, as a means
of verifying hypotheses provisionally adopted. This method of proof,
which lies at the base of nearly all important scientific discovery,
can hardly be described better than by Galilei’s own statement of it,
as applied to a particular case:—
“Let us therefore take this at present as a _Postulatum_, the truth
whereof we shall afterwards find established, when we shall see other
conclusions built upon this _Hypothesis_, to answer and most exactly
to agree with Experience.”[82]
CHAPTER VII.
KEPLER.
“His celebrated laws were the outcome of a lifetime of speculation,
for the most part vain and groundless.... But Kepler’s name was
destined to be immortal, on account of the patience with which he
submitted his hypotheses to comparison with observation, the candour
with which he acknowledged failure after failure, and the perseverance
and ingenuity with which he renewed his attack upon the riddles of
nature.”
JEVONS.
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