A year of prophesyingWells, H. G. (Herbert George)
History
A year of prophesying
Wells, H. G. (Herbert George)
Civilization, Modern -- 20th century; Europe -- History -- 20th century; Great Britain -- History -- 20th century
And just as an attack of France upon Britain is unthinkable at the
present time, although all the military advantage lies at present with
France, so, too, any attack upon the vast joint territories of the
United States and the British Empire, though they neither of them had
a battleship in commission nor a ton of explosive ready, would be an
absurd proposition. There is no other Power on earth that could do it
to any profit at all, and without the ultimate certainty of a crushing
rearmament and revenge. It would be like a tiger-cat trying to kill and
eat an elephant. In all the world now there are only four countries
capable of starting-in at complete first-class modern warfare: Britain,
France, Japan, and the United States. Italy has neither the coal nor
the ore necessary for so heavy an enterprise; the hairiest, loudest
Fascisti in the world will not make up for that; and Russia has not
the industrial plant for the necessary munitions of aggression. She
has vast resisting power, as ever, but no attacking power. All the
other countries of the world, if they fight nowadays, must fight with
the munitions and loans the four possible belligerents grant them.
These four countries therefore, of themselves, could inaugurate a
world peace; and the interests of their peoples, as distinguished
from the armament interests, urgently demand a secure world peace.
The difficulty is to begin. The Press of each of the armament-capable
four is closely interwoven with the armament profiteers, and the Press
of either country will begin a campaign of panic about what the other
three are doing directly there is any serious possibility of relaxed
armament anywhere. Since the United States and Britain are easily first
in preaching peace and arbitration to the world, I suggest that it is
for them to set the example and begin. But at the first intimations
of a serious abandonment of “preparedness” Lord Rothermere and his
American equivalents--if there are equivalents of Lord Rothermere
in America--will see to it that the nervous householder dreams of
aeroplanes coming down the chimney and submarines coming up the sink,
and wakes gibbering of “security” like a _Matin_-soaked French patriot.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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