A year of prophesyingWells, H. G. (Herbert George)
History
A year of prophesying
Wells, H. G. (Herbert George)
Civilization, Modern -- 20th century; Europe -- History -- 20th century; Great Britain -- History -- 20th century
That is the quality of the new phase. M. Poincaré is talking as
liberally as he can. He exchanges compliments and large liberal
gestures with Mr. Ramsay MacDonald; neither of them meaning anything
whatever, except a desire to pass the time and be in the fashion.
It is the change in the fashion that should interest the student
of affairs. M. Poincaré is getting ready for the elections in May,
and his proceedings betray his consciousness of the deep strong
movement of French thought and intention leftward, away from adventure
and nationalism and militarism, towards--sanity. In spite of a
systematically perverted news service and many provocations and natural
fears, the mind of France is becoming powerfully reasonable. It thinks
less and less of glory and more and more of solvency. It is more
open to-day to ideas of reconciliation, disarmament, and organised
international co-operation than it has been at any time since the war.
M. Poincaré has been superficially dexterous, his majority is
beautifully restored, but France and all the world know him for
an honest obdurate man. I doubt if he will come back after the
elections. M. Millerand has seemed to threaten a dictatorship if the
Poincaré policy is defeated. Is France so Latin as to stand that? I
think M. Millerand will be better advised to try a resignation. For
the recent credit given to France to support the franc is probably
the end of French borrowing power, and a defeat of the Left by
fraud or violence--a cessation of the movement towards reason and
disarmament--means a withdrawal of foreign confidence and a swift and
sure financial collapse.
Now unhappily it is just at this phase of French affairs, with the
peace-intending reconciling forces of France and Britain coming
rapidly into accord and ascendancy, that Germany begins to manifest
her least agreeable traits. The recent Munich trials, the acquittal
of that foolish old monarchist blusterer, Ludendorff, the ridiculous
mitigated sentences of Hitler and the other conspirators against the
German Republic, and, above all, the public demonstrations of sympathy
with these second-rate nationalist reactionaries, come as a real shock
to our hopes of an approaching European reconstruction. Like that
supremely silly incident, the neglect to lower the German flag in
Washington on the occasion of President Wilson’s death, it is ugly;
it betrays the bad heart. One may recognise the stream of injustices
and disappointments that have been inflicted on Germany in the last
five years, one may be willing to concede the right of Germans to a
considerable resentment, and yet one may find it hard to forgive these
sentimental dangerous reversions towards monarchism in uniform, and,
above all, that petty and provocative folly at Washington.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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