After the Rain : how the West lost the EastVaknin, Samuel
History
After the Rain : how the West lost the East
Vaknin, Samuel
Europe, Eastern -- Economic conditions -- 1989-; Europe, Eastern -- Politics and government -- 1989-
Devaluation (forced on the country by the IMF in order to encourage its
exports and to stabilize its currency) leads to an increase in the
general price level (also known as inflation). In other words:
immediately after a devaluation, the prices go up (this happened in
Macedonia and led to a doubling of the inflation which persisted before
the 16% devaluation in July 1997). High prices burden businesses and
increase their default rates. The banks increase their interest rates
to compensate for the higher risk (=higher default rate) and to claw
back part of the inflation (=to maintain the same REAL interest rates
as before the increase in inflation). Wages are never fully indexed.
The salaries lag after the cost of living and the purchasing power of
households is eroded. Taxes fall as a result of a decrease in wages and
the collapse of many businesses and either the budget is cruelly cut
(austerity and scaling back of social services) or the budget deficit
increases (because the government spends more than it collects in
taxes). Another bad option (though rarely used) is to raise taxes or
improve the collection mechanisms. Rising manufacturing costs (fuel and
freight are denominated in foreign currencies and so do many of the
tradable inputs) lead to pricing out of many of the local firms (their
prices become too high for the local markets to afford). A flood of
cheaper imports ensues and the comparative advantages of the country
suffer. Finally, the creditors take over the national economic policy
(which is reminiscent of darker, colonial times).
And if this sounds familiar it is because this is exactly what is
happening in Macedonia today. Communism to some extent was replaced by
IMF-ism. In an age of the death of ideologies, this is a poor - and
dangerous - choice. The country spends 500 million USD annually on
totally unnecessary consumption (cars, jam, detergents). It gets this
money from the IMF and from donor countries but an awful price: the
loss of its hard earned autonomy and freedom. No country is independent
if the strings of its purse are held by others.
(Article written in January, 1998)
Return
The IMF Deconstructed
A Dialogue with Mr. Tom Rodwell
The following is a standard IMF document, taken from its own website.
Underlined phrases are related to categories A and/or B (see below).
The phrases here are general examples as part of general criticism of
the ideological tone and "aesthetic" of the IMF. This dialogue is a
combination of philosophy and economics: does/can the IMF (or any
organization) "facilitate the expansion and balanced growth of
international trade?"
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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