An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Oeconomy (Vol. 1 of 2): Being an essay on the science of domestic policy in free nations. In which are particularly considered population, agriculture, trade, industry, money, coin, interest, circulation, banks, exchange, public credit, and taxesSteuart, James, Sir
History
An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Oeconomy (Vol. 1 of 2): Being an essay on the science of domestic policy in free nations. In which are particularly considered population, agriculture, trade, industry, money, coin, interest, circulation, banks, exchange, public credit, and taxes
Steuart, James, Sir
Economics
If a statesman should be negligent on this occasion; if he should allow
natural consequences to follow upon one another; just as circumstances
shall determine; then it may happen, that workmen will keep upon hand
that part of their goods which exceeds the demand, until necessity
forces them to enter into competition with one another, and sell for
what they can get. Now this competition is hurtful, because it is all on
one side, and because we have supposed the preponderating of the scale
of work to be an overturning of a perfect balance, which can by no means
be set right, consistently with a scheme of thriving, but by the scale
of demand becoming heavier, and re-establishing a double competition.
Were this to happen before the workmen come to sell in competition, then
the balance would again be even, after what I call _a short vibration_,
which is no _subversion_; but when the scale of work remains too long in
the same position, and occasions a strong, hurtful, and lasting
competition, upon one side only, then, I say, the balance is
_overturned_; because this diminishes the reasonable profits, or
perhaps, indeed, obliges the workmen to sell below prime cost. The
effect of this is, that the workmen fall into distress, and that
industry suffers a discouragement; and this effect is certain.
But it may be asked, Whether, by this fall of prices, demand will not be
increased? That is to say, will not the whole of the goods be sold off?
I answer, That this may, or may not, be the effect of the fall,
according to circumstances: it is a contingent consequence of the
simple, but not the effect of the double competition: the distress of
the workmen is a certain and unavoidable consequence of the first.
But supposing this contingent consequence to happen, will it not set the
balance even, by increasing the demand? I answer, the balance is then
made even by a violent shock given to industry, but it is not set even
from any principle which can support it, or make it flourish. Here is
the criterion of a perfect balance: _A positive moderate profit must
balance a positive moderate profit; the balance must vibrate, and no
loss must be found on either side_. In the example before us, the
balance stands even, it is true; the work and the demand are equally
poised as to quantity; but it is a _relative profit_, which hangs in the
scale, opposite to a _relative loss_. I wish this may be well
understood; farther illustrations will make it clear.
Next, let me suppose the scale of _demand_ to preponderate positively.
In this case, the statesman should be still more upon his guard, to
provide a proportional supply; because the danger here may at first put
on a shew of profit, and deceive him.
The consequences of this subversion of the balance are either,
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