An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Oeconomy (Vol. 2 of 2): Being an essay on the science of domestic policy in free nations. In which are particularly considered population, agriculture, trade, industry, money, coin, interest, circulation, banks, exchange, public credit, and taxesSteuart, James, Sir
General
An Inquiry into the Principles of Political Oeconomy (Vol. 2 of 2): Being an essay on the science of domestic policy in free nations. In which are particularly considered population, agriculture, trade, industry, money, coin, interest, circulation, banks, exchange, public credit, and taxes
Steuart, James, Sir
Economics
After the new subscription had been open for some time, scrip indeed, or
4 _per cent._ fell in this month so low as 74½, that is, money rose to
5.4 _per cent._ whereas had scrip stood at the proportion of the 3 _per
cents._ it should have been worth about 84: but at the beginning of a
war with Spain, when the minds of men were depressed, and filled with
apprehensions, and when a new loan was perhaps expected at a higher
interest than ever government had given, was it natural for people to be
fond of investing in a 4 _per cent._ stock, which was to fall to 3 _per
cent._ in a few years?
Besides, let us examine the profit to be made by investing even in that
fund. 100_l._ produced in Scotland 5_l._ interest, that capital remitted
to London at 3 _per cent._ exchange, was reduced to 97_l._: now if
74.5_l._ produced 4_l._ the produce of 97_l._ would be about 5_l._ 4_s._
Would any man for the sake of ⅕ _per cent._ advance of interest on money
remitted, ever think of sending large sums to London to be invested in a
falling stock?
I allow that, upon opening subscriptions, great profit was sometimes
made by those who contracted with government, and who received the
subscriptions at prime cost. But this profit depended entirely upon the
subsequent rise of the subscription, when the original subscribers
brought it first to market; as also from the small sums they had
advanced: this operation was over before the end of January 1762. The
smalness of the sum advanced, upon which the profit was made, and the
ministerial interest which was necessary to obtain a share in those
subscriptions, rendred it extremely difficult for people in Scotland to
share in the profit by remitting large sums in the proper point of time.
Farther, might not the banks, in the short period during which such
large profits were made, had they had the exchange in their hands, have
raised it so high as to frustrate the attempts of our Scots gamesters?
If it be said, that exchangers would have disappointed them, by giving
it lower; I answer in the negative: because to that set of men exchange
will rise, of itself, in proportion to the value of money _in the place
to which people incline to remit it_. And could money at any time bring
in, at London, 20 _per cent._ interest, exchange upon that place would
rise universally in proportion.
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