It is impossible to determine absolutely the year of least rainfall
which may be expected, but evidently the longer the period over which
observations have extended the nearer that end will be attained. It
is sometimes assumed that the lowest annual rainfall likely to be
expected in a long period of years is 80 per cent of the average annual
rainfall for the same period. Or, it is sometimes assumed that the
average rainfall for the lowest two or three consecutive years will be
80 per cent of the average for the entire period, and that the year
of minimum rainfall may be expected to yield two thirds of the annual
average precipitation. Such features will necessarily vary with the
location of the district considered. Conclusions which may be true for
the New England or northern Atlantic States probably will not hold for
the south Atlantic and Gulf States. Data for such conclusions must
be obtained from the rainfall of the locality considered. Table VI
exhibits the comparative monthly rainfall which J. T. Fanning suggests
may be used approximately for the average Atlantic coast districts.
TABLE VI.
+-----------+-----------+------------+-----------+
| | Mean | | Probable |
| | Monthly | Respective | Depth in |
| | Rainfall, | Ratios. | Inches of |
| | Inches. | | Actual |
| | | | Rainfall. |
+-----------+-----------+------------+-----------+
| January | 4 × 1.65 = 6.6 |
| February | 4 × 1.50 = 6.0 |
| March | 4 × 1.65 = 6.6 |
| April | 4 × 1.45 = 5.8 |
| May | 4 × .85 = 3.4 |
| June | 4 × .75 = 3.0 |
| July | 4 × .35 = 1.4 |
| August | 4 × .25 = 1.0 |
| September | 4 × .30 = 1.2 |
| October | 4 × .45 = 1.8 |
| November | 4 × 1.20 = 4.8 |
| December | 4 × 1.60 = 6.4 |
+-----------+------------------------------------+
If the average monthly rainfall throughout the year were one inch, the
values of the ratios would show the actual monthly precipitation. In
general the table would be used by dividing the total yearly rainfall
by 12, and then multiplying that monthly average by the proper ratio
taken from the table opposite the month required. Such tables should
only be used for approximate purposes and when actual rainfall records
are not available for the district considered.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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