Gambling; Great Britain -- Social life and customs
“‘But they know what the horse has done already.’ Yes; but
not what the horse might have done. They do not know—no one
can, who is not in the secrets of the Turf—what the horse’s
engagements really are; whether he has not been kept back in
view of those engagements; whether he will not be kept back
again; whether he has not been used to make play for another
horse; and—in one word—whether he is _meant_ to win.
“‘Ah, but the young gentleman has sent his money on commission
to a prophet in the newspaper, in whom he has the highest
confidence; he has prophesied the winner two or three times at
least; and a friend of his sent him money to lay on, and got
back ever so much; and he has a wonderful Greek name, Lynceus,
or Polyphemus, or Typhlops, or something, and so he must know.’
“Ah! fool, fool! You know how often the great Polyphemus
prophesied the winner, but you do not know how often he did
not. Hits count of course; but misses are hushed up. And as for
your friend getting money back, if Polyphemus let no one win,
his trade would stop. The question is, not whether one foolish
lad had _won_ by him, but whether five-and-twenty foolish lads
did not _lose_ by him. He has his book to make, as well as you,
and he wants your money to pay his own debts with if he loses.
He has his bread to earn, and he wants your money to earn it
with; and as for sending him money, you may as well throw a
sovereign down a coal-pit and expect it to come up again with a
ton of coals on its back.”
A simple and effective way of exposing the folly of betting on horses is
to take some leading sporting papers for a week and to put an imaginary
pound upon each of the selected winners, and then count the losses and
gains at the end of a week. The result of such an operation was sent to
the _Daily News_ some time ago, and is given below.
The predicted winners were by “Augur” of the _Sporting Life_ and
“Vigilant” of the _Sportsman_, who are recognised authorities in racing
circles. An imaginary pound was put on each race. In the case where two
selections were made, 10s. was put on each.
SUMMARY OF WEEK
_Sporting Life._ _Sportsman._
Loss £12 10 11 £16 1 10
Gain 1 13 9 6 14 6
---------- ----------
Loss £10 17 2 £9 7 4
It is indeed astonishing how far men will go on the chance of a run of
luck when the probabilities are that they will lose. At Monte Carlo there
are eight gambling-tables, each of which averages a profit of £500 daily
from the public, yet players are always to be found.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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