Brazil today and tomorrowJoyce, L. E. Elliott (Lilian Elwyn Elliott)
History
Brazil today and tomorrow
Joyce, L. E. Elliott (Lilian Elwyn Elliott)
Brazil; Brazil -- Economic conditions
São Paulo State harvested 15,392,000 bags; Rio de Janeiro State offered
4,245,000 bags; Espirito Santo and Bahia together had another half
million. Altogether Brazil had over 20,000,000 bags of coffee for sale,
to a world whose annual consumption was then not much more than
17,000,000 bags; and in addition to the new Brazilian crop there was a
harvest from Mexico and Central America of 1,500,000 bags, from Colombia
of 1,000,000, with another half million from the East and 400,000 from
the West Indies—and the not to be ignored contribution of real Mocha
coffee of 115,000 bags.
Nor was that all. There had been a big Brazilian crop in 1901–02,
reaching the then unprecedented figure of 15,000,000 sacks, and with a
world consumption at that time of only 13,000,000 there was a large
surplus of this coffee left in hand, as well as stocks of other
varieties. Prices went down, and the planter was only saved by the
imminence of a fall in exchange which meant that although his coffee
sold for less gold than normally, yet this gold brought so much more
Brazilian paper when exchanged that he was able to pay operating
expenses and still count a profit in national currency.
From a gloomy level of thirty francs a bag, coffee rose in 1904–05 to
about forty and fifty francs; but the threatening feature of the
situation was retention in world warehouses of a stock averaging
11,000,000 bags. When Brazil was confronted with 20,000,000 bags of the
new 1906 crop she thus had to consider a market which already held
seven-tenths of the coffee needed annually by the world, apart from
other sources of new supply.
To throw her coffee upon Europe and the United States meant the ruin of
the premier industry of Brazil. After a series of hotly debated
discussions, which had begun with the menace of the big crop of 1902,
the State of São Paulo, with the support of the Federal Government and
in agreement with the States of Rio and Minas, decided upon the famous,
greatly abused and passionately defended Valorization Plan. The methods
adopted may be open to criticism, but some remedy had to be sought, and
the plan had the merit of boldness as well as the sanction given by
success; the fact that this success was partly adventitious would
probably prevent recourse to like measures at future times. The “Taubaté
Agreement” forming the base of the plan obliged the contracting states
to sell their coffee at not less than a given price,[11] to prevent
exportation of grades below Type Seven; to commence propaganda work
abroad to increase coffee sales; to collect a surtax of three francs per
bag on all exports; and to limit new planting of coffee. It was farther
suggested that the surtax proceeds should be held by the Federal
Government and used for the amortization of the loan to be made,
creating a Caixa de Emissão e Conversão to deal with financial aspects
of the Plan and to regulate exchange—an excellent measure which was
eventually carried out.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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