His method of estimating the mean temperature of the stream is even
more objectionable. He says, “The average surface temperature of the
Florida Channel for the whole year is 80°, and we may set the average
of the entire outgoing stream down to the plane of 60° at 70°, instead
of 65°, as estimated by Mr. Croll.” If 80° be the surface and 60° be
the bottom temperature, temperature and rate of velocity being assumed
of course to decrease uniformly from the surface downwards, how is it
possible that 70° can be the average temperature? The amount of water
flowing through the upper half of the section, with a temperature above
70°, is far more than the amount flowing through the under half of the
section, with a temperature below 70°. Supposing the lower half of the
section to be as large as the upper half, which it is not, still the
quantity of water flowing through it would only equal one-third of
that flowing through the upper half, because the mean velocity of the
water in the lower half would be only half a mile per hour, whereas
the mean velocity of that in the upper half would be a mile and a half
an hour. But the area of the lower half is much less than that of the
upper half, consequently the amount of water whose temperature is under
70° must be even much under one-third of that, the temperature of which
is above 70°.
Had Dr. Carpenter taken the proper method of estimating the mean
temperature, he would have found that 75°, even according to his own
data, was much nearer the truth than 70°. I pointed out, several years
ago,[91] the fallacy of estimating the mean temperature of a stream in
this way.
So high a mean temperature as 75° for the Gulf-stream, even in the
Florida Channel, is manifestly absurd, but if 60° be the bottom
temperature of the stream, the mean temperature cannot possibly be much
under that amount. It is, of course, by under-estimating the sectional
area of the stream that its mean temperature is over-estimated. We
cannot reduce the mean temperature without increasing the sectional
area. If my estimate of 65° be taken as the mean temperature, which I
have little doubt will yet be found to be not far from the truth, Dr.
Carpenter’s estimate of the sectional area must be abandoned. For if
65° be the mean temperature of the stream, its bottom temperature must
be far under 60°, and if the bottom temperature be much under 60°, then
the sectional area must be greater than he estimates it to be.
Be this, however, as it may; even if we suppose that 60° will
eventually be found to be the actual bottom temperature of the
Gulf-stream, nevertheless, if the total quantity of heat conveyed by
the stream from inter-tropical regions be estimated in the proper way,
we shall still find that amount to be so enormous, that there is not
sufficient heat remaining in those regions to supply Dr. Carpenter’s
oceanic circulation with a quantity as great for distribution in the
North Atlantic.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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