It has been shown[101] that an increase in the eccentricity of the
earth’s orbit tends to lower the temperature of the one hemisphere and
to raise the temperature of the other. It is true that an increase of
eccentricity does not afford more heat to the one hemisphere than to
the other; nevertheless it brings about a condition of things which
tends to lower the temperature of the one hemisphere and to raise the
temperature of the other. Let us imagine the eccentricity to be at its
superior limit, 0·07775, and the winter solstice in the aphelion. The
midwinter temperature, owing to the increased distance of the sun,
would be lowered enormously; and the effect of this would be to cause
all the moisture which now falls as rain during winter in temperate
regions to fall as snow. Nor is this all; the winters would not merely
be colder than now, but they would also be much longer. At present the
summer half-year exceeds the winter half year by nearly eight days; but
at the period in question the winters would be longer than the summers
by upwards of thirty-six days. The heat of the sun during the short
summer, for reasons which have already been explained, would not be
sufficient to melt the snow of winter; so that gradually, year by year,
the snow would continue to accumulate on the ground.
On the southern hemisphere the opposite condition of things would
obtain. Owing to the nearness of the sun during the winter of that
hemisphere, the moisture of the air would be precipitated as rain in
regions where at present it falls as snow. This and the shortness of
the winter would tend to produce a decrease in the quantity of snow.
The difference of temperature between the equatorial and the temperate
and polar regions would therefore be greater on the northern than on
the southern hemisphere; and, as a consequence, the aërial currents
of the former hemisphere would be stronger than those of the latter.
This would be more especially the case with the trade-winds. The
N.E. trades being stronger than the S.E. trades would blow across the
equator, and the median line between them would therefore be at some
distance to the south of the equator. Thus the equatorial waters would
be impelled more to the southern than to the northern hemisphere; and
the warm water carried over in this manner to the southern hemisphere
would tend to increase the difference of temperature between the two
hemispheres. This change, again, would in turn tend to strengthen the
N.E. and to weaken the S.E. trades, and would thus induce a still
greater flow of equatorial waters into the southern hemisphere—a
result which would still more increase the difference of temperature
between the northern and southern hemisphere, and so on—the one cause
so reacting on the other as to increase its effects, as was shown at
length in Chapter IV.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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