There are still eminent astronomers and physicists who are of opinion
that the climate of the globe never could have been seriously affected
by changes in the eccentricity of its orbit. This opinion results, no
doubt, from viewing the question as a purely astronomical one. Viewed
from an astronomical standpoint, as has been already remarked, there
is actually nothing from which any one could reasonably conclude with
certainty whether a change of eccentricity would seriously affect
climate or not. By means of astronomy we ascertain the extent of the
eccentricity at any given period, how much the winter may exceed
the summer in length (or the reverse), how much the sun’s heat is
increased or decreased by a decrease or an increase of distance,
and so forth; but we obtain no information whatever regarding how
these will actually affect climate. This, as we have already seen,
must be determined wholly from physical considerations, and it is
an exceedingly complicated problem. An astronomer, unless he has
given special attention to the physics of the question, is just as
apt to come to a wrong conclusion as any one else. The question
involves certain astronomical elements; but when these are determined
everything then connected with the matter is purely physical. Nearly
all the astronomical elements of the question are comprehended in the
accompanying Tables.
TABLE I.
THE ECCENTRICITY AND LONGITUDE OF THE PERIHELION OF THE EARTH’S
ORBIT FOR 3,000,000 YEARS IN THE PAST AND 1,000,000 YEARS IN
THE FUTURE, COMPUTED FOR INTERVALS OF 50,000 YEARS.
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