The principle upon which this result is arrived at is this:--The temperature of space, as determined by Sir John Herschel, is −239° F. M. Pouillet, by a different method, arrived at almost the same result. If we take the midwinter temperature of Great Britain at 39°, then 239° + 39° = 278° will represent the number of degrees of rise due to the sun’s heat at midwinter; in other words, it takes a quantity of sun-heat which we have represented by 1000 to maintain the temperature of the earth’s surface in Great Britain 278° above the temperature of space. Were the sun extinguished, the temperature of our island would sink 278° below its present midwinter temperature, or to the temperature of space. But 850,000 years ago, as will be seen from Table III., if the winters occurred in aphelion, the heat of the sun at midwinter would only equal 837 instead of 1000 as at present. Consequently, if it takes 1,000 parts of heat to maintain the temperature 278° above the temperature of space, 837 parts of heat will only be able to maintain the temperature 232°·7 above the temperature of space; for 232°·7 is to 278 as 837 is to 1,000. Therefore, if the temperature was then only 232°·7 above that of space, it would be 45°·3 below what it is at present. This is what the temperature would be on the supposition, of course, that it depended wholly on the sun’s intensity and was not modified by other causes. This method has already been discussed at some length in Chapter II. But whether these values be too high or too low, one thing is certain, that a very slight increase or a very slight decrease in the quantity of heat received from the sun must affect temperature to a considerable extent. The direct heat of the moon, for example, cannot be detected by the finest instruments which we possess; yet from 238,000 observations made at Prague during 1840−66, it would seem that the temperature is sensibly affected by the mere change in the lunar perigee and inclination of the moon’s orbit.[195] Column VIII. gives the midwinter temperature. It is found by subtracting the numbers in column VII. from 39°, the present midwinter temperature.