Neither does palæontology afford any better mode of measuring
geological time. In fact, the palæontological method of estimating
geological time, either absolute or relative, from the rate at which
species change, appears to be even still more unsatisfactory. If we
could ascertain by some means or other the time that has elapsed from
some given epoch (say, for example, the glacial) till the present
day, and were we sure at the same time that species have changed at a
uniform rate during all past ages, then, by ascertaining the percentage
of change that has taken place since the glacial epoch, we should
have a means of making something like a rough estimate of the length
of the various periods. But without some such period to start with,
the palæontological method is useless. It will not do to take the
historic period as a base-line. It is far too short to be used with
safety in determining the distance of periods so remote as those which
concern the geologist. But even supposing the palæontologist had a
period of sufficient length measured off correctly to begin with, his
results would still be unsatisfactory; for it is perfectly obvious,
that unless the climatic conditions of the globe during the various
periods were nearly the same, the rate at which the species change
would certainly not be uniform; but such has not been the case, as an
examination of the Tables of eccentricity will show. Take, for example,
that long epoch of 260,000 years, beginning about 980,000 years ago
and terminating about 720,000 years ago. During that long period the
changes from cold to warm conditions of climate every 10,000 or 12,000
years must have been of the most extreme character. Compare that
period with the period beginning, say, 80,000 years ago, and extending
to nearly 150,000 years into the future, during which there will be
no extreme variations of climate, and how great is the contrast! How
extensive the changes in species must have been during the first period
as compared with those which are likely to take place during the latter!
Besides, it must also be taken into consideration that organization was
of a far more simple type in the earlier Palæozoic ages than during the
Tertiary period, and would probably on this account change much more
slowly in the former than in the latter.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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