Economics Volume II: Modern Economic ProblemsFetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
General
Economics Volume II: Modern Economic Problems
Fetter, Frank A. (Frank Albert)
Economics
§ 11. #Magnitude of the inflow of immigrants.#In view of these facts
it seems necessary to modify the displacement theory greatly. To the
extent that the coming of immigrants caused a net addition to the
population, it doubtless hastened the growth of cities and the
development of industrialism, and thus helped to reduce the birthrate
in some classes. But this view admits the effect upon population which
the displacement theory denies. Probably, in a good many cases the
more rapid business advancement of the natives, because of the
coming of the immigrants, led to the decline of birthrate that is a
consequence of economic success.[9] But a large part of this change
would have inevitably occurred even if there had been no immigration
after 1820. Between 1820 and 1910 the population increased 82,400,000,
and the total number of immigrants was 27,800,000, or 33.7 per cent
of the total increase. In an urban environment the birthrate among
immigrants always has been very much higher than that of native
Americans. This fact alone might well be taken as sufficient to offset
whatever depressing effects the coming of the immigrants may have
had upon the native birthrate, leaving the immigration nearly a net
addition to population. It does not seem possible to believe that
if there had been no immigration, our native population, rapidly
advancing in average wealth, wages, and general education, would have
continued with an unchecked birthrate, and would have filled all the
places taken by immigrants. And no believer in the displacement
theory has ever ventured to claim, as the argument requires, that if
immigration were now stopped, the birthrate would again return to the
old standard of 1820, or would cease to decrease somewhat. Especially
of late, since the rate of increase of the native population has
become much less, is the effect of continuing immigration apparent.
In the decade of 1900-1910 the total population increased 16,000,000,
while nearly 9,000,000 immigrants arrived. Of the remaining increase,
3,000,000 consisted of children born of foreign parents. That leaves
three or at the most four million (4,000,000) increase attributable to
the native stock, white and negro combined.
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