Encyclopaedia Britannica, 11th Edition, "Echinoderma" to "Edward, prince of Wales": Volume 8, Slice 10Various
Science
Encyclopaedia Britannica, 11th Edition, "Echinoderma" to "Edward, prince of Wales": Volume 8, Slice 10
Various
Encyclopedias and dictionaries
Assuming that we have in our minds this safeguard against loose thinking
and neglect of important factors, the investigation of the special
problems arising out of the general inquiry resolves itself into a
careful definition of each problem we wish to deal with, and the
collection, tabulation and interpretation of the evidence. In most cases
the interpretation of the facts is far from obvious, and we have to try
several hypotheses before we reach one which will bear the strain of a
critical examination in the light of further evidence. But at this stage
in historical investigation it is generally the want of evidence of a
sufficiently complete and continuous character, rather than difficulties
of method, which forces us to leave the problem unsolved. It is, for
instance, practically impossible to obtain reliable evidence as to the
regularity of employment in any industry in the 17th century, and the
best approximations and devices we can invent are very poor substitutes
for what we really want. For this reason guesswork must continue to play
an important part in economic history. But every genuine attempt to
overcome its difficulties brings us into closer touch with the period we
are examining; and though we may not be able to throw our conclusions
into the form of large generalizations, we shall get to know something
of the operation of the forces which determined the economic future of
England; understand more clearly than our forefathers did, for we have
more information than they could command, and a fuller appreciation of
the issues, the broad features of English development, and be in a
position to judge fairly well of the measures they adopted in their
time. By comparing England with other countries we may be able in the
distant future to reach conclusions of some generality as to the laws of
growth, maturity and decay of industrial nations. But like the early
statisticians of the 17th century, economic historians are the
"beginners of an art not yet polished, which time may bring to more
perfection."
The investigation of modern questions.
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