Essays: Scientific, Political, & Speculative; Vol. 1 of 3: Library Edition (1891), Containing Seven Essays not before Republished, and Various other Additions.Spencer, Herbert
Philosophy
Essays: Scientific, Political, & Speculative; Vol. 1 of 3: Library Edition (1891), Containing Seven Essays not before Republished, and Various other Additions.
Spencer, Herbert
Philosophy; Political science; Science
NOTE IV. The argument set forth in the foregoing note, is in part
designed to introduce a question which seems to require
re-consideration--the origin of the minor planets or planetoids. The
hypothesis of Olbers, as propounded by him, implied that the disruption
of the assumed planet between Mars and Jupiter had taken place at no
very remote period in the past; and this implication was shown to be
inadmissible by the discovery that there exists no such point of
intersection of the orbits of the planetoids as the hypothesis requires.
The inquiry whether, in the past, there was any nearer approach to a
point of intersection than at present, having resulted in a negative, it
is held that the hypothesis must be abandoned. It is, however, admitted
that the mutual perturbations of the planetoids themselves would
suffice, in the course of some millions of years, to destroy all traces
of a place of intersection of their orbits, if it once existed. But if
this be admitted why need the hypothesis be abandoned? Given such
duration of the Solar System as is currently assumed, there seems no
reason why lapse of a few millions of years should present any
difficulty. The explosion may as well have taken place ten million years
ago as at any more recent period. And whoever grants this must grant
that the probability of the hypothesis has to be estimated from other
data.
As a preliminary to closer consideration, let us ask what may be
inferred from the rate of discovery of the planetoids, and from the
sizes of those most recently discovered. In 1878, Prof. Newcomb, arguing
that "the preponderance of evidence is on the side of the number and
magnitude being limited", says that "the newly discovered ones" "do not
seem, on the average, to be materially smaller than those which were
discovered ten years ago"; and further that "the new ones will probably
be found to grow decidedly rare before another hundred are discovered".
Now, inspection of the tables contained in the just-published fourth
edition of Chambers' _Descriptive Astronomy_ (vol. I) shows that whereas
the planetoids discovered in 1868 (the year Prof. Newcomb singles out
for comparison) have an average magnitude of 11·56 those discovered last
year (1888) have an average magnitude of 12·43. Further, it is
observable that though more than ninety have been discovered since Prof.
Newcomb wrote, they have by no means become rare: the year 1888 having
added ten to the list, and having therefore maintained the average rate
of the preceding ten years. If, then, the indications Prof. Newcomb
names, had they arisen, would have implied a limitation of the number,
these opposite indications imply that the number is unlimited. The
reasonable conclusion appears to be that these minor planets are to be
counted not by hundreds but by thousands; that more powerful telescopes
will go on revealing still smaller ones; and that additions to the list
will cease only when the smallness ends in invisibility.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account