Familiar Talks on Science: World-Building and Life; Earth, Air and Water.Gray, Elisha
Science
Familiar Talks on Science: World-Building and Life; Earth, Air and Water.
Gray, Elisha
Science
Every day there is a weather map made up showing the locations of the
high and low barometers, direction of wind, lines of equal pressure, as
well as those of temperature. By study from year to year all of these
phenomena have become systematized, so that by tracing an area of low
barometer from its origin in its progress easterly it is soon seen to
fall under one of these classes and we are able to predict about what
its course will be. Knowing the speed of its movement as well as the
velocity of wind and all the conditions attending it, taken in
connection with the weather conditions in the region for which the
prediction is made, an expert can ordinarily forecast with some degree
of accuracy. After all that can be said, however, weather predictions
based upon maps are and have been far from satisfactory. One who has
been a close student of local conditions for a number of years will
often predict with as great accuracy as the weather bureau. Areas of low
pressure are followed sooner or later by a fall of temperature; this is
especially true in the winter months. Sometimes this fall is very
marked, and then it is called a cold wave. These sudden changes of
temperature are not thoroughly understood, but are supposed to be due
partly at least to rapid radiation of heat into the upper regions, as
the clear atmosphere which usually attends areas of high pressure is
favorable to such a condition. Undoubtedly, too, there are dynamic
causes, forcing the colder air from the upper regions to the earth, when
it immediately flows off toward an area of low barometer.
Long-time predictions are purely guesses. They sometimes guess on the
right side, and this gives them courage to make another. It is an old
saying that "all signs fail in dry weather." In time of a drought it is
true that the indications which at ordinary times would be surely
followed by a rain are of no value. When a season is once established,
either as a rainy season or a dry season, it is likely to persist in
this character until a change comes that is produced by the movement of
the sun in its course northerly and southerly, and the change produced
from this cause requires several weeks of time.
If accurate weather predictions could be made for a long time in
advance, or for even a week, they would be of incalculable value. But it
is doubtful if ever this will be brought about, as there are too many
necessarily hidden factors which enter into the calculations. If
stations could be established all over the oceans with sufficient
frequency, and an equal number at a sufficient altitude in the air, I
have no doubt that much that is now mysterious might be made plain.
CHAPTER XIV.
HOW DEW IS FORMED.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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