seventy-five years before that, in 1305.
As Halley thus found that a comet had been recorded on several
occasions at intervals of seventy-five or seventy-six years, he was
led to the conclusion that these several apparitions related to one
and the same object, which was an obedient vassal of the sun,
performing an eccentric journey round that luminary in a period of
seventy-five or seventy-six years. To realise the importance of this
discovery, it should be remembered that before Halley's time a comet,
if not regarded merely as a sign of divine displeasure, or as an omen
of intending disaster, had at least been regarded as a chance visitor
to the solar system, arriving no one knew whence, and going no one
knew whither.
A supreme test remained to be applied to Halley's theory. The
question arose as to the date at which this comet would be seen
again. We must observe that the question was complicated by the fact
that the body, in the course of its voyage around the sun, was
exposed to the incessant disturbing action produced by the attraction
of the several planets. The comet therefore, does not describe a
simple ellipse as it would do if the attraction of the sun were the
only force by which its movement were controlled. Each of the
planets solicits the comet to depart from its track, and though the
amount of these attractions may be insignificant in comparison with
the supreme controlling force of the sun, yet the departure from the
ellipse is quite sufficient to produce appreciable irregularities in
the comet's movement. At the time when Halley lived, no means
existed of calculating with precision the effect of the disturbance a
comet might experience from the action of the different planets.
Halley exhibited his usual astronomical sagacity in deciding that
Jupiter would retard the return of the comet to some extent. Had it
not been for this disturbance the comet would apparently have been
due in 1757 or early in 1758. But the attraction of the great planet
would cause delay, so that Halley assigned, for the date of its
re-appearance, either the end of 1758 or the beginning of 1759.
Halley knew that he could not himself live to witness the fulfilment
of his prediction, but he says: "If it should return, according to
our predictions, about the year 1758, impartial posterity will not
refuse to acknowledge that this was first discovered by an
Englishman." This was, indeed, a remarkable prediction of an event
to occur fifty-three years after it had been uttered. The way in
which it was fulfilled forms one of the most striking episodes in the
history of astronomy. The comet was first seen on Christmas Day,
1758, and passed through its nearest point to the sun on March 13th,
1759. Halley had then been lying in his grave for seventeen years,
yet the verification of his prophecy reflects a glory on his name
which will cause it to live for ever in the annals of astronomy. The
comet paid a subsequent visit in 1835, and its next appearance is due
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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