Herbert Hoover: The Man and His WorkKellogg, Vernon L. (Vernon Lyman)
History
Herbert Hoover: The Man and His Work
Kellogg, Vernon L. (Vernon Lyman)
Hoover, Herbert, 1874-1964; World War, 1914-1918 -- Food supply
"The prices (of hogs) so far as we can effect them will not go
below a minimum of about $15.50 per hundredweight for the average
of the packers' droves on the Chicago market until further
notice.... We have had and shall have the advice of a board
composed of practical hog-growers and experts. That board advises
us that the best yardstick to measure the cost of production of
hogs is the cost of corn. The board further advises that the ratio
of corn price to hog price on the average over a series of years
has been about twelve to one (or a little less). In the past when
the ratio has gone lower than twelve to one, the stock of hogs in
the country has decreased. When it was higher than twelve the hogs
have increased. The board has given its judgment that to bring the
stock of hogs back to normal under the present conditions the ratio
should be about thirteen. Therefore, as to the hogs farrowed next
spring, we will try to stabilize the price so that the farmer can
count on getting for each one hundred pounds of hog ready for
market, thirteen times the average cost per bushel of the corn fed
to the hogs.... But let there be no misunderstanding of this
statement. It is not a guarantee backed by money. It is not a
promise by the packers. It is a statement of the intention and
policy of the Food Administration which means to do justice to the
farmer."
The effect of Hoover's action to accomplish the imperatively needed
stimulated production of hogs began to appear by the next July and from
that time on was very marked, the production reaching an increase over
normal of thirty percent. The price assured to the farmers by the Food
Administration was maintained uniformly from November, 1917, to August,
1918. In October, however, a critical situation arose because, by reason
of the growing peace talk, a sharp decline in the price of corn occurred
and this decline spread fear among the growers that a similar reduction
would take place in the price of hogs because of the fixed thirteen to
one corn and hog ratio. A rapid marketing of hogs ensued which broke the
price.
With the Armistice there was an immediate change of attitude on the part
of the Allies who had been trying to build up reserves of pork products
to use in times of possible increased difficulty of transportation. They
now moved promptly toward a reduction of purchases. This made serious
difficulties in maintaining the price to the producers during the months
of December, January, and February. But Hoover's original assurance to
the growers covered these months. It required most vigorous pressure on
his part to compel the Allies to live up to their purchasing agreements.
But he was finally successful in disposing of the material offered by
the growers and thus was able to keep faith with them.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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