History of the inductive sciences, from the earliest to the present timeWhewell, William
History
History of the inductive sciences, from the earliest to the present time
Whewell, William
Science -- History
In the next place, we may venture to say, that advances in knowledge
are not commonly made without the previous exercise of some boldness
and license in guessing. The discovery of new truths requires,
undoubtedly, minds careful and scrupulous in examining what is
suggested; but it requires, no less, such as are quick and fertile
in suggesting. What is Invention, except the talent of rapidly
calling before us many possibilities, and selecting the appropriate
one? It is true, that when we have rejected all the inadmissible
suppositions, they are quickly forgotten by most persons; and few
think it necessary to dwell on these discarded hypotheses, and on
the process by which they were condemned, as Kepler has done. But
all who discover truths must have reasoned upon many errors, to
obtain each truth; every accepted doctrine must have been one
selected out of many candidates. In making many conjectures, which
on trial proved erroneous, Kepler was no more fanciful or
unphilosophical than other discoverers have been. Discovery is not a
"cautious" or "rigorous" process, in the sense of abstaining from
such suppositions. But there are great differences in different
cases, in the facility with which guesses are proved to be errors,
and in the degree of attention with which the error and the proof
are afterwards dwelt on. Kepler certainly was remarkable for the
labor which he gave to such self-refutations, and for the candor and
copiousness with which he narrated them; his works are in this way
extremely curious and amusing; and are a very instructive exhibition
of the mental process of discovery. But in this respect, I venture
to believe, they exhibit to us the usual process (somewhat
caricatured) of inventive minds: they rather exemplify the _rule_ of
genius than (as has generally been hitherto taught) the _exception_.
We may add, that if many of Kepler's guesses now appear fanciful and
absurd, because time and observation have refuted them, others,
which were at the time equally gratuitous, have been confirmed by
succeeding discoveries in a manner which makes them appear
marvellously sagacious; as, for instance, his assertion of the
rotation of {292} the sun on his axis, before the invention of the
telescope, and his opinion that the obliquity of the ecliptic was
decreasing, but would, after a long-continued diminution, stop, and
then increase again.[31\5] Nothing can be more just, as well as more
poetically happy, than Kepler's picture of the philosopher's pursuit
of scientific truth, conveyed by means of an allusion to Virgil's
shepherd and shepherdess:
Malo me Galatea petit, lasciva puella
Et fugit ad salices et se cupit ante videri.
Coy yet inviting, Galatea loves
To sport in sight, then plunge into the groves;
The challenge given, she darts along the green,
Will not be caught, yet would not run unseen.
[Note 31\5: Bailly, _A. M._ iii. 175.]
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