History of the inductive sciences, from the earliest to the present timeWhewell, William
History
History of the inductive sciences, from the earliest to the present time
Whewell, William
Science -- History
When we now look back at the time and exertions which the
establishment of this law cost Kepler, we are tempted to imagine that
he was strangely blind in not seeing it sooner. His object, we might
reason, was to discover a law connecting the distances and the
periodic times. What law of connection could be more simple and
obvious, we might say, than that one of these quantities should vary
as some _power_ of the other, or as some _root_; or as some
combination of the two, which in a more general view, may still be
called a _power_? And if the problem had been viewed in this way, the
question must have occurred, to _what_ power of the periodic times are
the distances proportional? And the answer must have been, the trial
being made, that they are proportional to the square of the cube root.
This _ex-post-facto_ obviousness of discoveries is a delusion to which
we are liable with regard to many of the most important principles. In
the case of Kepler, we may observe, that the process of connecting two
classes of quantities by comparing their _powers_, is obvious only to
those who are familiar with general algebraical views; and that in
Kepler's time, algebra had not taken the place of geometry, as the
most usual vehicle of mathematical reasoning. It may be added, also,
that Kepler always sought his _formal_ laws by means of _physical_
reasonings; and these, though vague or erroneous, determined the
nature of the mathematical connection which he assumed. Thus in the
_Mysterium_ he had been led by his notions of moving virtue of the sun
to this conjecture, among others--that, in the planets, the increase
of the periods will be double of the difference of the distances;
which supposition he found to give him an approach to the actual
proportion of the distances, but one not sufficiently close to satisfy
him.
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