History of the inductive sciences, from the earliest to the present timeWhewell, William
History
History of the inductive sciences, from the earliest to the present time
Whewell, William
Science -- History
It may serve to show the kind of labor by which Kepler was led to
his result, if we here enumerate, as he does in his forty-seventh
Chapter,[40\5] six hypotheses, on which he calculated the longitude
of Mars, in order to see which best agreed with observation.
[Note 40\5: _De Stellâ Martis_, p. 228.]
1. The simple eccentricity.
2. The bisection of the eccentricity, and the duplication of the
superior part of the equation. {300}
3. The bisection of the eccentricity, and a stationary point of
equations, after the manner of Ptolemy.
4. The vicarious hypothesis by a free section of the eccentricity
made to agree as nearly as possible with the truth.
5. The physical hypothesis on the supposition of a perfect circle.
6. The physical hypothesis on the supposition of a perfect ellipse.
By the physical hypothesis, he meant the doctrine that the time of a
planet's describing any part of its orbit is proportional to the
distance of the planet from the sun, for which supposition, as we
have said, he conceived that he had assigned physical reasons.
The two last hypotheses came the nearest to the truth, and differed
from it only by about eight minutes, the one in excess and the other
in defect. And, after being much perplexed by this remaining error,
it at last occurred to him[41\5] that he might take another
ellipsis, exactly intermediate between the former one and the
circle, and that this must give the path and the motion of the
planet. Making this assumption, and taking the areas to represent
the times, he now saw[42\5] that both the longitude and the
distances of Mars would agree with observation to the requisite
degree of accuracy. The rectification of the former hypothesis, when
thus stated, may, perhaps, appear obvious. And Kepler informs us
that he had nearly been anticipated in this step (c. 55). "David
Fabricius, to whom I had communicated my hypothesis of cap. 45, was
able, by his observations, to show that it erred in making the
distances too short at mean longitudes; of which he informed me by
letter while I was laboring, by repeated efforts, to discover the
true hypothesis. So nearly did he get the start of me in detecting
the truth." But this was less easy than it might seem. When Kepler's
first hypothesis was enveloped in the complex construction requisite
in order to apply it to each point of the orbit, it was far more
difficult to see where the error lay, and Kepler hit upon it only by
noticing the coincidences of certain numbers, which, as he says,
raised him as if from sleep, and gave him a new light. We may
observe, also, that he was perplexed to reconcile this new view,
according to which the planet described an exact ellipse, with his
former opinion, which represented the motion by means of libration
in an epicycle. "This," he says, "was my greatest trouble, that,
though I considered and reflected till I was almost mad, I could not
find why the planet to which, with so much probability, and with
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