Hygiene: a manual of personal and public health (New Edition)Newsholme, Arthur, Sir
Science
Hygiene: a manual of personal and public health (New Edition)
Newsholme, Arthur, Sir
Hygiene; Public health -- Great Britain; Sanitation
and severity in vaccinated and unvaccinated respectively.
The =age incidence of deaths from small-pox= has, since 1847, when
returns classified according to age became available, undergone a
remarkable alteration. Prior to 1870 the small-pox deaths in infants
nearly always formed 20 per cent. or more of the total mortality from
this disease, between 1870 and 1890 they did not greatly exceed 10 per
cent. of the total, while since 1890 they have again begun to form an
increasing proportion of the total small-pox mortality. At ages 1-5 the
change is even more remarkable. Before 1870 deaths at these ages nearly
always exceeded 30 per cent. of the total; since 1870 they have varied
between 5 and 14 per cent. of the total; and since 1890 they have,
like the proportion of deaths under one, again increased. At the higher
ages the proportion of deaths has correspondingly increased, so that
the curves of age incidence have become curiously inverted.
The lowered birth-rate can only account for a small portion of this
transference of the chief mortality due to small-pox from childhood to
adult life.
Furthermore it must not be supposed that the only change which has
occurred is that the deaths which formerly occurred in childhood now
occur in adult life. The death-rate at all ages has greatly declined.
The only explanation which in my judgment satisfactorily explains
this remarkable change in age-incidence of small-pox mortality is
the fact that vaccination protects children from small-pox and that
the protection diminishes, though it never entirely disappears, with
advancing years. This conclusion is confirmed by the evidence obtained
as to the proportion of vaccinated and unvaccinated attacked, and as to
the severity of the attacks occurring when a community is invaded by
small-pox.
=Attack-rate among Vaccinated.=—If the protective effect of
vaccination, like that of a preceding attack of small-pox, wears off,
it will not be expected that no attacks of small-pox will occur among
the vaccinated. For evidence of immunity from attacks we must examine
the records as to =revaccinated= persons exposed to infection. During
the six years 1890-95, out of a staff in the London small-pox hospitals
varying from 64 to 320, the percentage attacked by small-pox was _nil_,
except in 1892 when it was 1·4, and in 1893 when it was 1·9.
Taking the experience of towns in which during recent years epidemics
of small-pox have occurred, the following attack-rates have occurred.
By attack-rate is meant the percentage number of attacks occurring
among persons living in infected houses. By fatality is meant the
number dying out of 100 attacked.
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