Immigration : $b A world movement and its American significanceFairchild, Henry Pratt
History
Immigration : $b A world movement and its American significance
Fairchild, Henry Pratt
Emigration and immigration; United States -- Emigration and immigration
Mr. Whelpley says, “There is no hope of an exhaustion of supply, for the
most prolific races are now contributing their millions, and yet
increasing the population of their own countries. There is no hope of an
improvement in quality, for the best come first and the dregs
follow.”[373] Professor Mayo-Smith says, “Emigration does not threaten
to depopulate the countries of Europe. Had there been no emigration
during this century (the nineteenth) it is not probable that the
population of Europe would have been any greater than it is. The
probabilities are all the other way.”[374]
Professor Taussig, while not stating this opinion in so many words,
appears to adhere to it when he says that without emigration Sweden and
Italy would have had—not a larger population—but either a higher death
rate or a lower birth rate.[375]
If we seek for a statistical demonstration of the foregoing argument we
are confronted with the same impossibility of securing it which has
become so familiar in the course of this work. These matters do not
adjust themselves with clocklike regularity, but operate over long
periods, and are complicated by innumerable other factors. Even though
two phenomena are shown to operate harmoniously, it is not always
possible to prove which is cause and which effect. The declining birth
rate has been a common phenomenon in almost all European countries
during the last forty years, and particularly during the last twenty
years of the nineteenth century.[376] An opponent of the view we are
considering could point to this fact as a contradiction of the claim,
while one on the opposite side could assert that the decline would have
been equally rapid and perhaps more so without any emigration at all.
Neither could prove his case. Even if it could be demonstrated that the
countries which experience the largest emigration also manifest the
highest rate of increase in population, it might be easily maintained
that it was the extreme growth of population that accounted for the
large emigration, rather than the reverse. About all that can be shown
is that a large emigration and a high rate of increase of population may
go together. Examples of this state of affairs are numerous.[377]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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