Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
In Europe at any rate the third wave occurring in the winter of 1919 was
quite generally distributed. At about the same time the disease broke
out in England, making a third wave in less than a year. Once again the
third attack began less suddenly and less violently and resulted in a
lower number of fatalities. During February there was reported to have
been a great increase in the number of cases in Paris. It had terminated
by March 27, 1919. In March the disease broke out anew, this time
assuming grave proportions, not only in that city but in several of the
Departments.
The second recrudescence has also been reported as being present in
Spain.
On May 5, 1919, report was received from Buenos Ayres that in one of the
concentration zones for naval troops located in the harbor there had
been an epidemic of short duration, but with high morbidity, with two
hundred cases being frequently reported each day.
Just as Pearl has observed a certain periodic recrudescence in the
United States, there has been described a similar periodicity in
England. The interval, however, is described as twelve weeks. The first
wave began in July and died down about the end of August, running a two
months course. Twelve weeks after the commencement of the first wave, at
the beginning of October, the second appeared. It had disappeared around
the middle of December. Again, twelve weeks from the beginning of the
second wave, that is, in January, the third appeared.
RECURRENCES IN WINTER OF 1919–1920.
We distinguish between the flareups following the autumn spread of 1918,
and which lasted until the spring of 1919, and yet another widely
distributed recurrence in the winter of 1920. We have called the former
recrudescences to distinguish them in point of time from the latter, but
do not imply thereby any difference in the character or origin of the
secondary waves. Between them all there occurred almost continuously
isolated or solitary cases of influenza which served to keep the fires
smouldering. In our own work in the city of Boston we found record of
scattered infrequent cases of clinical influenza of apparently low
infectivity in every month from March, 1919, until the recurrence in
January, 1920.
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