Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
If a disease like measles is quiescent in a given community it must be
that in that locality the hosts and parasites are existing in a state of
biological equilibrium. They are living in a state somewhat akin to
symbiosis. Such a condition could be attained either by a diminution of
the invasive powers of the parasite, or by an increase in resistance of
the host. Probably both elements are active; as the relative immunity of
the host rises the infectivity or virulence of the parasite must rise to
an equal extent to maintain the equilibrium. If this were true we would
find that in those localities in which the disease is endemic and where
the population is relatively resistant there is a normally more virulent
virus in existence. A stranger coming into such a community would, in
view of his lower resistance to the virus, be more susceptible of
becoming actively infected. There would, however, be little danger of an
epidemic spread because the number of susceptibles would, roughly, be
limited to the number of strangers in the community. If, however, an
individual from the community carrying the more virulent virus were to
travel to another community where the greater proportion of the
population was relatively less immune the field would be fertile for the
beginning of an epidemic. Furthermore, there is the possibility of an
outbreak in the first community if there should occur gross changes in
its constitution; another infectious disease, a redistribution of the
population with greater crowding, anything to change the balance between
host and parasite.
Theobald Smith has described this possibility very clearly:
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account