Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Fränkel and Dublin are of the opinion that this change in the age
incidence of influenza mortality between epidemic and endemic periods
suggests strongly that the two diseases are different; that endemic
influenza is not the same disease as epidemic influenza. Or perhaps they
should say more correctly that the diseases occurring in interepidemic
times which are reported to them as deaths due to influenza-pneumonia
are not the same as the epidemic influenza. They draw similar
conclusions from the different manner in which the white and black races
are affected during the interepidemic and epidemic periods, from
so-called influenza-pneumonia. We have seen from Frost’s results that it
is hazardous to compare mortality rates of different localities and
different times with the idea of comparing the disease, influenza,
itself.
The ages showing highest mortality in the autumn of 1918 appear to have
been essentially the same as those which predominated thirty years ago.
There appears to be nothing in the age distribution that could be
explained by an immunity persisting over from the epidemic of 1889–93.
The age group 30 to 40 has almost universally a higher mortality than
the groups below 20, which would by this theory be non-immune and would
be expected to have a higher rate. The drop in rate is nearer the age
group of 40 than 30. The presence of smaller or larger influenza
epidemics in the course of the thirty years would further complicate
such an hypothesis.
_Relationship to occupation._—Dublin found in a study of 4,700 miners
that the death rate was unusually high from influenza in these
individuals for the last quarter of 1918. In fact in the age period 45
to 65 the rate among bituminous coal miners is close to four times as
high as among all occupied males. The annual death rate per thousand for
all ages among the former is 50.1; among all industrial white males,
22.3. The increase is apparent in all age groups from 15 to 65
inclusive. These results are based on the records of the Metropolitan
Life Insurance Company.
_Density of population._ _Rural and urban environment._—There have been
few reports which have like the above described clearly variations due
apparently only to occupational differences. Some attention has been
paid to a comparison of the rural incidence with that in large cities.
Although other factors play a part here, we may consider this under the
general subject of occupation. Statistics for the fall of 1918 from the
Netherlands show that with the exception of men over 80 years of age the
mortality was remarkably increased for both sexes in communities of less
than 20,000 inhabitants.
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