Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
═══════════════════════╤═══════════════════════╤═══════════════════════
│ Per cent. of exposed │Per cent. of those who
Type of exposure in │individuals who had had│had not had a previous
1920. │ influenza in 1918–19 │ attack, and who on
│ and who contracted it │ exposure contracted
│ again, per cent. │ influenza, per cent.
───────────────────────┼───────────────────────┼───────────────────────
“Sleeping” │ 27.0│ 31.0
“Room” │ 18.3│ 17.6
“Family” │ 12.0│ 11.2
───────────────────────┴───────────────────────┴───────────────────────
_On the whole there is no evidence of protection afforded by a previous
attack._—Individuals who had had the disease before succumbed to a
second attack in the same proportion as those who had not previously had
influenza.
_Recurrent cases._—In certain families there were individuals who had
had influenza during both the 1918 and 1920 epidemics. Were these
recurrent cases the first ones to occur in the family, or did they, as a
rule, follow other cases in the same household? We have records of 236
recurrent cases in which we know the order of occurrence of the various
cases in the family. Out of this total number 57 were the initial cases
in the household. One hundred and nineteen were the only cases occurring
in the family. Therefore 176 or 74 per cent. of the total number of
recurrent cases were either the first or the only cases in the family.
Sixteen recurrent cases followed between other cases and 44 occurred as
the last of a series of two or more in the household.
SECTION V.
IMMUNITY.
Opinions of all observers who have studied in detail the question of
immunity in influenza are remarkedly in accord. The conclusions reached
by Parkes in 1876 are valid today, and form as excellent an abstract of
our present knowledge as any produced since his time. “There is some
discrepancy of evidence, but, on the whole, it seems clear that, while
persons seldom have a second attack in the same epidemic (though even
this may occur), an attack in one does not protect against a subsequent
epidemic. Indeed, it has been supposed rather to render the body more
liable.”
In 1890, Abbott wrote: “There is but little if any evidence in support
of the protective power of one attack to confer immunity against a
second; and hence adults are not exempt, as they usually are in
epidemics of scarlet fever or other exanthemata; so that the proportion
of adults to children attacked in an epidemic is necessarily greater
than that which is observed in epidemics of other infectious diseases.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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