Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Dr. Niven, in his study of 1,021 households previously described, found
that 105 families suffered in both the summer and autumn 1918 epidemics.
“They comprised a population of 565 persons, of whom 205 suffered in
summer and 360 escaped. In the autumn epidemic eighty-two (or 40 per
cent.) of the presumably ‘protected’ persons succumbed again, whereas
only 120 (or 33 per cent.) of the ‘unprotected’ suffered. Of the former,
however, only one died, while five of the latter terminated fatally.
These are interesting figures. If they are borne out by subsequent
inquiry, they are somewhat difficult of explanation. The persistent
susceptibility to the primary disease and yet comparative immunity from
the fatal sequel, would seem to suggest a dual infection, against one
element of which the body is able to produce protection, while it is
unable to do so against the other.”
Frost made a canvass of 33,776 individuals in Baltimore between November
20th and December 11th, 1918. The same population was again covered in
January, 1919, to determine the extent of the recrudescence reported in
December. Among 32,600 people, 724 cases of influenza had occurred in
the interval since the first survey. Of this number only 26 or 3.6 per
cent. were definitely cases of second attack in the same individual.
Even in these cases the diagnosis is necessarily uncertain. Frost says
that considering that 23 per cent. of the population had had influenza
prior to December 11th, the proportion of second attacks should have
been much greater if no immunity had been acquired. A second canvas in
San Francisco gave generally corresponding results.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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