Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
We find then that after the pandemic of the last century the same
epidemiologic questions had arisen that have come into such prominence
during the present period. As a rule those who have quoted the
epidemiologists of 1890 to 1900 have mentioned the first hypothesis and
have failed to allude to the fact that the other two were considered. So
we see that the subject was by no means settled even at that time, and
that if we should discover that the 1918 pandemic cannot be traced to a
single endemic focus our results will not be absolutely contradictory to
those of the last century.
Returning to a consideration of the period 1916–1918, we observe from
reference to Frost’s diagram that in the spring of 1918 there was a
sharp and general rise in mortality from influenza and pneumonia. Frost
reports that in the larger cities on the Atlantic seaboard this increase
occurred generally during January, February and March, when pneumonia
mortality normally reaches its maximum. The increase was not so evident
in all these cities as it was in New York City. In the rest of the
country, especially in the Central and Western States, the increase
occurred in April, a month during which pneumonia mortality is generally
on the decline, and was sufficient to constitute an unmistakable
departure from the normal. The increased mortality rate extended quite
generally into May and in some areas still longer. This is the first
increase after 1916 that is pictured in the mortality statistics for the
country at large.
There are some who believe that they saw influenza in mild form in the
United States army in the year 1917. V. C. Vaughan has investigated this
possibility and from a study of the sick and wounded charts decided that
there was no relation between influenza and the pneumonia which was
prevalent in 1917, and which usually was secondary to measles, being
caused by the streptococcus in the majority of localities. The lack of
association between influenza and pneumonia in 1917 and the direct
association in 1918 is well brought out by a comparison of the figures
in the two following charts, prepared by V. C. Vaughan:
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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